Live prediction market odds for South Africa vs Afghanistan. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-18
This market resolved on 2026-02-18. Afghanistan was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 50%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
AfghanistanWINNER | 1% | 100% |
South Africa | 99% | 0% |
South Africa vs Afghanistan was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Afghanistan led the market at 50% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include South Africa at 50%.
Afghanistan held the lead at 50% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Afghanistan, South Africa at 50% were the next closest contenders. The 99.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Afghanistan: 1¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. South Africa: 99¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket. The 99.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 50¢ meant the market estimated a 50% chance that Afghanistan would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 50¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 100% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Afghanistan is the winner of the South Africa vs Afghanistan professional Men's T20 World Cup Cricket match originally scheduled for Feb 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afghanistan
50.5% avg
