About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for Sri Lanka vs New Zealand. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Live prediction market odds for Sri Lanka vs New Zealand. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-25
This market resolved on 2026-02-25. New Zealand was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 80%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
New ZealandWINNER | 99% | 62% |
Sri Lanka | 1% | 39% |
Sri Lanka vs New Zealand was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New Zealand led the market at 80% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Sri Lanka at 20%.
New Zealand held the lead at 80% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind New Zealand, Sri Lanka at 20% were the next closest contenders. The 37.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New Zealand: 99¢ on Kalshi, 62¢ on Polymarket. Sri Lanka: 1¢ on Kalshi, 39¢ on Polymarket. The 37.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 80¢ meant the market estimated a 80% chance that New Zealand would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 80¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 25% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Sri Lanka is the winner of the Sri Lanka vs New Zealand professional Men's T20 World Cup Cricket match originally scheduled for Feb 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
New Zealand
80.3% avg