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Live prediction market odds for Sri Lanka vs Pakistan. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Live prediction market odds for Sri Lanka vs Pakistan. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-28
This market resolved on 2026-02-28. Pakistan was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
PakistanWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Sri Lanka | 1% | 100% |
Sri Lanka vs Pakistan was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Pakistan led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Sri Lanka at 51%.
Pakistan held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Pakistan, Sri Lanka at 51% were the next closest contenders. The 99.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Pakistan: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Sri Lanka: 1¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. The 99.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Pakistan would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Pakistan is the winner of the Sri Lanka vs Pakistan professional Men's T20 World Cup Cricket match originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Pakistan
99.5% avg