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Live prediction market odds for Survivor 50 Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi / Polymarket

Survivor 50 Winner

2026-05-20

About This Market

Share

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of Survivor 50, set to conclude on May 20, 2026. Viewer engagement and contestant dynamics throughout the season will heavily influence the odds as fans speculate on potential outcomes.

Aubry Bracco leads the “Survivor 50 Winner” event at 83.3% implied probability. Other contenders include Cirie Fields (8.8%), Rizo Velovic (2.5%), Joe Hunter (1.8%), and Jonathan Young (1.5%). A 2.3% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
No price history available

Live Markets

2 platforms
AB
Aubry Bracco
83% Avg
Kalshi83¢
Polymarket84¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
82.5%82¢83¢17¢18¢
PolymarketPolymarket
83.5%83¢84¢16¢17¢
CF
Cirie FieldsARB
9% Avg
Kalshi10¢
Polymarket8¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
9.5%9¢10¢90¢91¢
PolymarketPolymarket
7.5%7¢8¢92¢93¢
RV
Rizo Velovic
2% Avg
Kalshi3¢
Polymarket2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
2.5%2¢3¢97¢98¢
PolymarketPolymarket
2.0%2¢2¢98¢98¢
JH
Joe Hunter
2% Avg
Kalshi2¢
Polymarket2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
1.5%1¢2¢98¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarket
1.5%1¢2¢98¢99¢
JY
Jonathan Young
1% Avg
Kalshi2¢
Polymarket1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
1.5%1¢2¢98¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarket
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢

Candidate Spotlight

About Aubry Bracco

Aubry Bracco is a marketing consultant and former 'Survivor' contestant. She competed on 'Survivor: Kaôh Rōng' (2016), 'Survivor: Game Changers' (2017), and 'Survivor: Edge of Extinction' (2019). She is currently participating in 'Survivor 50', aiming to secure the title of winner.

About Cirie Fields

Cirie Fields is a reality television personality and nurse. She is best known for her multiple appearances on 'Survivor,' including 'Survivor: Panama' and 'Survivor: Micronesia,' where she achieved notable placements. Her extensive experience and strategic gameplay make her a strong contender for the 'Survivor 50' title.

Frequently Asked Questions

When does Survivor 50 conclude?

Survivor 50 is scheduled to conclude on May 20, 2026. This date marks the final episode where the winner will be revealed.

What factors influence the odds for the Survivor 50 winner?

Odds for the Survivor 50 winner are influenced by contestant performances, viewer voting patterns, and social media engagement. As the season progresses, these elements can shift market perceptions.

Which platforms are tracking the Survivor 50 winner predictions?

Predictions for the Survivor 50 winner are being tracked on Polymarket and Kalshi. These platforms provide real-time odds based on market sentiment and contestant developments.

What is "Survivor 50 Winner" and why does it matter?

Survivor 50 Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Aubry Bracco leads at 83% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Cirie Fields at 9%, Rizo Velovic at 3%, Joe Hunter at 2%.

What is moving the odds on "Survivor 50 Winner"?

Aubry Bracco currently leads at 83% implied probability. Behind Aubry Bracco, Cirie Fields at 9% and Rizo Velovic at 3% and Joe Hunter at 2% are the next closest contenders. A 2.3% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.3%
Platforms2
Candidates22
Leader

Aubry Bracco

83.3% avg

Market Rulebook: Survivor 50 Winner

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Aubry Bracco is officially declared the winner of Survivor Season 50 before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The winner must be officially announced in the finale or via official channels immediately following. Multiple joint winners each resolve to Yes with split payouts ($1 divided by number of winners). If no winner is declared, all markets resolve to No. Winners who decline the award still count unless acceptance was a condition of victory. Disqualifications or withdrawals before the finale resolve to No. Later title stripping doesn't affect resolution - the original finale announcement governs. Fan favorite or other secondary awards don't count as winning. For couples/teams competitions, being part of the winning unit counts.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
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