Live prediction market odds for The Genesis Invitational End Of Round 1 Leader. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-22
This market resolved on 2026-02-22. Jacob Bridgeman was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 63%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Jacob BridgemanWINNER | 25% | 100% |
Marco Penge | 25% | 50% |
Aaron Rai | 24% | 50% |
Rory McIlroy | 24% | 50% |
Adam Scott | 1% | 50% |
Akshay Bhatia | 1% | 50% |
Aldrich Potgieter | 1% | 50% |
Andrew Novak | 1% | 50% |
Ben Griffin | 1% | 50% |
Bud Cauley | 1% | 50% |
Cameron Young | 1% | 50% |
Chris Gotterup | 1% | 50% |
Collin Morikawa | 1% | 50% |
Daniel Berger | 1% | 50% |
Garrick Higgo | 1% | 50% |
Harry Hall | 1% | 50% |
Hideki Matsuyama | 1% | 50% |
J.J. Spaun | 1% | 50% |
Jake Knapp | 1% | 50% |
Jason Day | 1% | 50% |
Jhonattan Vegas | 1% | 50% |
Jordan Spieth | 1% | 50% |
Justin Rose | 1% | 50% |
Keegan Bradley | 1% | 50% |
Kevin Yu | 1% | 50% |
Kurt Kitayama | 1% | 50% |
Lucas Glover | 1% | 50% |
Ludvig Aberg | 1% | 50% |
Matt Fitzpatrick | 1% | 50% |
Matti Schmid | 1% | 50% |
Max Homa | 1% | 50% |
Michael Kim | 1% | 50% |
Nick Taylor | 1% | 50% |
Nicolas Echavarria | 1% | 50% |
Patrick Rodgers | 1% | 50% |
Pierceson Coody | 1% | 50% |
Rickie Fowler | 1% | 50% |
Rico Hoey | 1% | 50% |
Robert MacIntyre | 1% | 50% |
Ryan Fox | 1% | 50% |
Ryan Gerard | 1% | 50% |
Ryo Hisatsune | 1% | 50% |
Sahith Theegala | 1% | 50% |
Sami Valimaki | 1% | 50% |
Scottie Scheffler | 1% | 50% |
Sepp Straka | 1% | 50% |
Shane Lowry | 1% | 50% |
Si Woo Kim | 1% | 50% |
Tom Hoge | 1% | 50% |
Tom Kim | 1% | 50% |
Tommy Fleetwood | 1% | 50% |
Tony Finau | 1% | 50% |
Viktor Hovland | 1% | 50% |
Xander Schauffele | 1% | 50% |
Alex Noren | 1% | 50% |
Corey Conners | 1% | 50% |
Harris English | 1% | 50% |
J.T. Poston | 1% | 50% |
Min Woo Lee | 1% | 50% |
Russell Henley | 1% | 50% |
Taylor Pendrith | 1% | 50% |
Wyndham Clark | 1% | 50% |
The Genesis Invitational End Of Round 1 Leader was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Jacob Bridgeman led the market at 63% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Marco Penge at 38%, Aaron Rai at 37%, Rory McIlroy at 37%.
Jacob Bridgeman held the lead at 63% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Jacob Bridgeman, Marco Penge at 38% and Aaron Rai at 37% and Rory McIlroy at 37% were the next closest contenders. The 75.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Jacob Bridgeman: 25¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Marco Penge: 25¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Aaron Rai: 24¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Rory McIlroy: 24¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 75.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 63¢ meant the market estimated a 63% chance that Jacob Bridgeman would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 63¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 59% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “The Genesis Invitational End Of Round 1 Leader” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 2K+ Discord community
Jacob Bridgeman
62.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Ludvig Aberg is the leader at the end of round 1 in the 2026 The Genesis Invitational, then the market resolves to Yes.
If multiple participants are tied for the lead at the end of the round, “Yes” positions will pay $1/N (rounded down to the nearest cent), where N is the number of tied participants, and “No” positions will pay 1 minus the "Yes" payout.
