Live prediction market odds for UCL Quarterfinals Qualifiers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-19
This market resolved on 2026-03-19. Arsenal was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the UCL Quarterfinals Qualifiers set for March 19, 2026. This event is crucial as it determines which top European football clubs advance in the prestigious tournament, impacting team finances and fan engagement.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
ArsenalWINNER | 100% | 100% |
Atlético Madrid | 100% | 100% |
Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) | 100% | 100% |
Barcelona | 99% | 100% |
Bayern München | 99% | 100% |
Liverpool | 99% | 100% |
Real Madrid | 99% | 100% |
Sporting CP | 99% | 100% |
Atalanta | 1% | 50% |
Bodø/Glimt | 1% | 50% |
Galatasaray | 1% | 50% |
Leverkusen | 1% | 50% |
Manchester City | 1% | 50% |
Newcastle | 1% | 50% |
Tottenham Hotspur | 1% | 50% |
Chelsea | 1% | 50% |
Several top European clubs compete in the qualifiers, aiming for a spot in the quarterfinals. The specific teams can vary each season based on their performance in earlier rounds.
Advancing to the quarterfinals can significantly boost a team's revenue through ticket sales and broadcasting rights. Additionally, it enhances their reputation and attractiveness to sponsors.
Odds can fluctuate based on team form, injuries, and historical performance in the tournament. Betting patterns and expert analyses also play a role in shaping market expectations.
UCL Quarterfinals Qualifiers was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Arsenal led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Atlético Madrid at 100%, Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) at 100%, Barcelona at 100%.
Arsenal held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Arsenal, Atlético Madrid at 100% and Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) at 100% and Barcelona at 100% were the next closest contenders. The 49.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Arsenal
99.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Bayern Munich is one of the teams to Qualify for the 2025-26 UCL Quarterfinals, then the market resolves to Yes.
This will be determined by whether or not they qualify; if they qualify but do not end up competing, the market will still resolve to Yes.
