Live prediction market odds for UFC Fight Night: Rahiki vs Hardwick. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-15
This market resolved on 2026-03-15. Marwan Rahiki was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 84%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking UFC Fight Night: Rahiki vs Hardwick. This matchup is pivotal for both fighters as they seek to improve their standings in the competitive UFC landscape and secure future title opportunities.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Marwan RahikiWINNER | 99% | 69% |
Harry Hardwick | 1% | 32% |
Both Rahiki and Hardwick are looking to enhance their rankings within the UFC. A win could lead to more lucrative fight opportunities and potential title shots.
Victories in high-profile fights can significantly influence a fighter's position in the UFC rankings. This match could determine who moves closer to a title contention.
Odds are affected by recent performances, injuries, and public sentiment surrounding each fighter. Betting patterns and expert analyses also play a crucial role in shaping the market.
UFC Fight Night: Rahiki vs Hardwick was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Marwan Rahiki led the market at 84% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Harry Hardwick at 16%.
Marwan Rahiki held the lead at 84% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Marwan Rahiki, Harry Hardwick at 16% were the next closest contenders. The 30.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Marwan Rahiki
83.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Harry Hardwick wins the Rahiki vs Hardwick professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Mar 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Rahiki vs Hardwick professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Mar 14, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. p This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
