Live prediction market odds for Venezuela vs Japan. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-15
This market resolved on 2026-03-15. Venezuela was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 70%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the match between Venezuela and Japan held on March 15, 2026. The outcome could impact international rankings and team morale, making this a pivotal event in the sports calendar.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
VenezuelaWINNER | 99% | 40% |
Japan | 1% | 60% |
Team performance in recent matches, player injuries, and historical head-to-head results are crucial factors. Betting markets often react to news and expert analyses leading up to the event.
International rankings can influence seeding in tournaments and affect future matchups. Higher-ranked teams often receive more favorable draws in competitions.
Both teams aim to improve their standings and gain momentum ahead of upcoming tournaments. A win could enhance their reputation and boost player confidence.
Venezuela vs Japan was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Venezuela led the market at 70% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Japan at 31%.
Venezuela held the lead at 70% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Venezuela, Japan at 31% were the next closest contenders. The 59.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Japan wins the Venezuela vs Japan professional baseball game originally scheduled for Mar 14, 2026 at 9:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Venezuela vs Japan professional baseball game originally scheduled for Mar 14, 2026 at 9:00 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. In the event of a tie, the market will resolve to 50/50.
PolymarketThis is a market on the World Baseball Classic game between Japan and Venezuela, scheduled for March 14 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Japan" if Japan wins the game. This market will resolve to "Venezuela" if Venezuela wins the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this event will be the official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting (including video/streaming evidence) may be used instead.
Venezuela
69.5% avg
