Live prediction market odds for Wales vs Italy. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-21
This market resolved on 2026-03-21. Wales was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the upcoming match between Wales and Italy on March 21, 2026. This game is pivotal as it could impact qualification standings and team morale in the lead-up to major tournaments.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
WalesWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Draw | 1% | 50% |
Italy | 1% | 50% |
Both teams are vying for crucial points that could affect their chances of qualifying for upcoming tournaments. A win could boost their confidence and standings significantly.
Recent match performances, including wins, losses, and player injuries, play a critical role in shaping the odds. Analysts closely monitor these factors to predict potential outcomes.
Wales and Italy have a rich competitive history, with previous encounters influencing fan expectations and team strategies. Historical performance can sway public sentiment and betting behavior leading up to the match.
Wales vs Italy was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Wales led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Draw at 26%, Italy at 25%.
Wales held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Wales, Draw at 26% and Italy at 25% were the next closest contenders. The 49.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Wales
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Wales is the winner in the Wales vs Italy professional Six Nations Rugby match originally scheduled for Mar 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Wales vs Italy professional Six Nations Rugby rugby match originally scheduled for Mar 14, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules.
Polymarket