Live prediction market odds for California Golden Bears vs. Kansas State Wildcats (Women's). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-22
This market resolved on 2026-03-22. California Golden Bears was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 75%.
California Golden Bears vs. Kansas State Wildcats (Women's) — Women's College Basketball game held on 2026-03-22. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
California Golden BearsWINNER | 99% | 50% |
Kansas State Wildcats | 1% | 50% |
California Golden Bears vs. Kansas State Wildcats (Women's) was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). California Golden Bears led the market at 75% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Kansas State Wildcats at 26%.
California Golden Bears held the lead at 75% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind California Golden Bears, Kansas State Wildcats at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: California Golden Bears: 99¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Kansas State Wildcats: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 75¢ meant the market estimated a 75% chance that California Golden Bears would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 75¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 33% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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California Golden Bears
74.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf California wins the California at Kansas St. women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the California at Kansas St. women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 22, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming WBB game, scheduled for March 22 at 7:00 PM ET: If the California Golden Bears win, the market will resolve to "California Golden Bears". If the Kansas State Wildcats win, the market will resolve to "Kansas State Wildcats". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
