About This Market
ShareJames Madison Dukes vs. Kentucky Wildcats (Women's) — Women's College Basketball game held on 2026-03-21. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for James Madison Dukes vs. Kentucky Wildcats (Women's). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-21
This market resolved on 2026-03-21. Kentucky Wildcats was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
James Madison Dukes vs. Kentucky Wildcats (Women's) — Women's College Basketball game held on 2026-03-21. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
Kentucky WildcatsWINNER | 99% | 99% |
James Madison Dukes | 1% | 1% |
James Madison Dukes vs. Kentucky Wildcats (Women's) was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Kentucky Wildcats led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include James Madison Dukes at 1%.
Kentucky Wildcats held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Kentucky Wildcats, James Madison Dukes at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Kentucky Wildcats: 99¢ on Kalshi, 99¢ on Polymarket. James Madison Dukes: 1¢ on Kalshi, 1¢ on Polymarket. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Kentucky Wildcats would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Kentucky Wildcats
99.2% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf James Madison wins the James Madison at Kentucky women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the James Madison at Kentucky women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming WBB game, scheduled for March 21 at 2:30 PM ET: If the James Madison Dukes win, the market will resolve to "James Madison Dukes". If the Kentucky Wildcats win, the market will resolve to "Kentucky Wildcats". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.