Live prediction market odds for Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan Wolverines (Women's). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-28
This market resolved on 2026-03-28. Michigan Wolverines was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan Wolverines (Women's) — Women's College Basketball game held on 2026-03-28. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Michigan WolverinesWINNER | 99% | 96% |
Louisville Cardinals | 1% | 5% |
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan Wolverines (Women's) was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Michigan Wolverines led the market at 97% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Louisville Cardinals at 3%.
Michigan Wolverines held the lead at 97% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Michigan Wolverines, Louisville Cardinals at 3% were the next closest contenders. The 3.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Michigan Wolverines: 99¢ on Kalshi, 96¢ on Polymarket. Louisville Cardinals: 1¢ on Kalshi, 5¢ on Polymarket. The 3.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 97¢ meant the market estimated a 97% chance that Michigan Wolverines would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 97¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 3% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Michigan Wolverines
97.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Louisville wins the Louisville at Michigan women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Louisville at Michigan women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 28, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming WBB game, scheduled for March 28 at 12:30 PM ET: If the Louisville Cardinals win, the market will resolve to "Louisville Cardinals". If the Michigan Wolverines win, the market will resolve to "Michigan Wolverines". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
