Live prediction market odds for Michigan Wolverines vs. Texas Longhorns (Women's). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-30
This market resolved on 2026-03-30. Texas Longhorns was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 90%.
Michigan Wolverines vs. Texas Longhorns (Women's) — Women's College Basketball game held on 2026-03-30. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Texas LonghornsWINNER | 99% | 82% |
Michigan Wolverines | 1% | 19% |
Michigan Wolverines vs. Texas Longhorns (Women's) was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Texas Longhorns led the market at 90% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Michigan Wolverines at 10%.
Texas Longhorns held the lead at 90% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Texas Longhorns, Michigan Wolverines at 10% were the next closest contenders. The 17.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Texas Longhorns: 99¢ on Kalshi, 82¢ on Polymarket. Michigan Wolverines: 1¢ on Kalshi, 19¢ on Polymarket. The 17.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 90¢ meant the market estimated a 90% chance that Texas Longhorns would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 90¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 11% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Michigan Wolverines vs. Texas Longhorns (Women's)” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 2K+ Discord community
Texas Longhorns
90.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Michigan wins the Michigan at Texas women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Michigan at Texas women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 30, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming WBB game, scheduled for March 30 at 7:00 PM ET: If the Michigan Wolverines win, the market will resolve to "Michigan Wolverines". If the Texas Longhorns win, the market will resolve to "Texas Longhorns". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
