Live prediction market odds for Vermont Catamounts vs. Louisville Cardinals (Women's). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-21
This market resolved on 2026-03-21. Louisville Cardinals was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Vermont Catamounts vs. Louisville Cardinals (Women's) — Women's College Basketball game held on 2026-03-21. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Louisville CardinalsWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Vermont Catamounts | 1% | 0% |
Vermont Catamounts vs. Louisville Cardinals (Women's) was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Louisville Cardinals led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Vermont Catamounts at 1%.
Louisville Cardinals held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Louisville Cardinals, Vermont Catamounts at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Louisville Cardinals: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Vermont Catamounts: 1¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Louisville Cardinals would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Louisville Cardinals
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Vermont wins the Vermont at Louisville women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Vermont at Louisville women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
