Live prediction market odds for West Indies vs Italy. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-02-19
West Indies leads the “West Indies vs Italy” event at 69.5% implied probability, followed by Italy at 30.0%. A 40.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
West Indies vs Italy is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). West Indies leads at 70% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Italy at 30%.
West Indies currently leads at 70% implied probability. Behind West Indies, Italy at 30% are the next closest contenders. The 40.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: West Indies: 89¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Italy: 10¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 40.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 70¢ means the market estimates a 70% probability that West Indies will be the outcome. Buying one share at 70¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 43% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Italy is the winner of the West Indies vs Italy professional Men's T20 World Cup Cricket match originally scheduled for Feb 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
West Indies
69.5% avg
