Live prediction market odds for West Indies vs South Africa. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-26
This market resolved on 2026-02-26. South Africa was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 83%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
South AfricaWINNER | 99% | 67% |
West Indies | 1% | 33% |
West Indies vs South Africa was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). South Africa led the market at 83% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include West Indies at 17%.
South Africa held the lead at 83% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind South Africa, West Indies at 17% were the next closest contenders. The 32.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: South Africa: 99¢ on Kalshi, 67¢ on Polymarket. West Indies: 1¢ on Kalshi, 33¢ on Polymarket. The 32.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 83¢ meant the market estimated a 83% chance that South Africa would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 83¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 20% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf West Indies is the winner of the West Indies vs South Africa professional Men's T20 World Cup Cricket match originally scheduled for Feb 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
South Africa
83.0% avg
