Live prediction market odds for Who will perform at the 2026 Grammys?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-01
This market resolved on 2026-02-01. Addison Rae was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Addison RaeWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Alex Warren | 99% | 100% |
Bruno Mars | 99% | 100% |
Justin Bieber | 99% | 100% |
Lady Gaga | 99% | 100% |
Leon Thomas | 99% | 100% |
Lola Young | 99% | 100% |
Malice | 99% | 100% |
Olivia Dean | 99% | 100% |
ROSÉ | 99% | 100% |
Sabrina Carpenter | 99% | 100% |
Sombr | 99% | 100% |
The Marías | 99% | 100% |
Tyler, The Creator | 99% | 100% |
Pusha T | 96% | 100% |
KATSEYE | 95% | 100% |
Bad Bunny | 30% | 100% |
Ariana Grande | 1% | 50% |
Billie Eilish | 1% | 50% |
Chappell Roan | 1% | 50% |
Doechii | 1% | 50% |
Drake | 1% | 50% |
Dua Lipa | 1% | 50% |
Kendrick Lamar | 1% | 50% |
Lana Del Rey | 1% | 50% |
Miley Cyrus | 1% | 50% |
Olivia Rodrigo | 1% | 50% |
SZA | 1% | 50% |
Taylor Swift | 1% | 50% |
The Weeknd | 1% | 50% |
Travis Scott | 1% | 50% |
Who will perform at the 2026 Grammys was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Addison Rae led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Alex Warren at 100%, Bruno Mars at 100%, Justin Bieber at 100%.
Addison Rae held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Addison Rae, Alex Warren at 100% and Bruno Mars at 100% and Justin Bieber at 100% were the next closest contenders. The 70.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Addison Rae: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Alex Warren: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Bruno Mars: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Justin Bieber: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. The 70.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Addison Rae would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Billie Eilish performs or it is announced that Billie Eilish will perform at 68th Grammy Awards before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Addison Rae
99.5% avg
