Arsenal leads the “Wolverhampton vs Arsenal” event at 25.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Arsenal FC (25.5%), Wolverhampton (25.5%), and Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (25.5%). A 49.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
What is "Wolverhampton vs Arsenal" and why does it matter?
Wolverhampton vs Arsenal is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Arsenal leads at 26% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Arsenal FC at 26%, Wolverhampton at 26%, Wolverhampton Wanderers FC at 26%.
What is moving the odds on "Wolverhampton vs Arsenal"?
Arsenal currently leads at 26% implied probability. Behind Arsenal, Arsenal FC at 26% and Wolverhampton at 26% and Wolverhampton Wanderers FC at 26% are the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
What are the current odds for "Wolverhampton vs Arsenal" across platforms?
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Arsenal: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Arsenal FC: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Wolverhampton: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
What does it mean that Arsenal is at 26%?
A price of 26¢ means the market estimates a 26% probability that Arsenal will be the outcome. Buying one share at 26¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 285% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If Wolverhampton wins the Wolverhampton vs Arsenal professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Edge Cases
The following market refers to the Wolverhampton vs Arsenal professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.