Live prediction market odds for Alina Charaeva vs. Maria Timofeeva. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-05
This market resolved on 2026-04-05. Maria Timofeeva was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 73%.
Alina Charaeva vs. Maria Timofeeva — WTA Tennis match held on 2026-04-05. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Maria TimofeevaWINNER | 99% | 48% |
Alina Charaeva | 1% | 53% |
Alina Charaeva vs. Maria Timofeeva was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Maria Timofeeva led the market at 73% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Alina Charaeva at 27%.
Maria Timofeeva held the lead at 73% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Maria Timofeeva, Alina Charaeva at 27% were the next closest contenders. The 51.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Maria Timofeeva: 99¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket. Alina Charaeva: 1¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket. The 51.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 73¢ meant the market estimated a 73% chance that Maria Timofeeva would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 73¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 37% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Maria Timofeeva
73.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Maria Timofeeva wins the Timofeeva vs Charaeva professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Linz Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Timofeeva vs Charaeva professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Linz Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Maria Timofeeva and Alina Charaeva in the Upper Austria Ladies Linz, Qualification, scheduled for April 5 2026. This market will resolve to “Timofeeva” if Maria Timofeeva wins the first set. It will resolve to “Charaeva” if Alina Charaeva wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics.
