Live prediction market odds for Alisa Oktiabreva vs. Lea Ma. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-29
This market resolved on 2026-03-29. Alisa Oktiabreva was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 74%.
Alisa Oktiabreva vs. Lea Ma — WTA Tennis match held on 2026-03-29. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Alisa OktiabrevaWINNER | 99% | 50% |
Lea Ma | 1% | 51% |
Alisa Oktiabreva vs. Lea Ma was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alisa Oktiabreva led the market at 74% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Lea Ma at 26%.
Alisa Oktiabreva held the lead at 74% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Alisa Oktiabreva, Lea Ma at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alisa Oktiabreva: 99¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Lea Ma: 1¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. The 49.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 74¢ meant the market estimated a 74% chance that Alisa Oktiabreva would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 74¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 35% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Alisa Oktiabreva wins the Ma vs Oktiabreva professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Bogota Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Ma vs Oktiabreva professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Bogota Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Lea Ma and Alisa Oktiabreva in the Copa Colsanitas, Qualification, scheduled for March 28 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lea Ma' if Lea Ma advances against Alisa Oktiabreva. This market will resolve to 'Alisa Oktiabreva' if Alisa Oktiabreva advances against Lea Ma. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alisa Oktiabreva
74.3% avg
