Live prediction market odds for Caroline Werner vs. Laura Valentina Villamil Arias. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-29
This market resolved on 2026-03-29. Caroline Werner was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 74%.
Caroline Werner vs. Laura Valentina Villamil Arias — WTA Tennis match held on 2026-03-29. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Caroline WernerWINNER | 99% | 49% |
Laura Valentina Villamil Arias | 1% | 52% |
Caroline Werner vs. Laura Valentina Villamil Arias was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Caroline Werner led the market at 74% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Laura Valentina Villamil Arias at 26%.
Caroline Werner held the lead at 74% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Caroline Werner, Laura Valentina Villamil Arias at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 50.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Caroline Werner: 99¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. Laura Valentina Villamil Arias: 1¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. The 50.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 74¢ meant the market estimated a 74% chance that Caroline Werner would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 74¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 35% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Caroline Werner
73.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Laura Valentina Villamil Arias wins the Villamil Arias vs Werner professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Bogota Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Villamil Arias vs Werner professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Bogota Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Laura Valentina Villamil Arias and Caroline Werner in the Copa Colsanitas, Qualification, scheduled for March 28 2026. This market will resolve to “Arias” if Laura Valentina Villamil Arias wins the first set. It will resolve to “Werner” if Caroline Werner wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics.
