Live prediction market odds for Darja Semenistaja vs. Despina Papamichail. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-02
This market resolved on 2026-04-02. Darja Semenistaja was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 87%.
Darja Semenistaja vs. Despina Papamichail — WTA Tennis match held on 2026-04-02. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Darja SemenistajaWINNER | 99% | 76% |
Despina Papamichail | 1% | 25% |
Darja Semenistaja vs. Despina Papamichail was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Darja Semenistaja led the market at 87% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Despina Papamichail at 13%.
Darja Semenistaja held the lead at 87% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Darja Semenistaja, Despina Papamichail at 13% were the next closest contenders. The 23.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Darja Semenistaja: 99¢ on Kalshi, 76¢ on Polymarket. Despina Papamichail: 1¢ on Kalshi, 25¢ on Polymarket. The 23.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 87¢ meant the market estimated a 87% chance that Darja Semenistaja would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 87¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 15% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Darja Semenistaja wins the Papamichail vs Semenistaja professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Bogota Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Papamichail vs Semenistaja professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Bogota Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Despina Papamichail and Darja Semenistaja in the Copa Colsanitas, scheduled for April 1 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Despina Papamichail' if Despina Papamichail advances against Darja Semenistaja. This market will resolve to 'Darja Semenistaja' if Darja Semenistaja advances against Despina Papamichail. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Darja Semenistaja
87.3% avg
