Live prediction market odds for Darja Semenistaja vs. Marie Bouzkova. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-03
This market resolved on 2026-04-03. Marie Bouzkova was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 85%.
Darja Semenistaja vs. Marie Bouzkova — WTA Tennis match held on 2026-04-03. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Marie BouzkovaWINNER | 99% | 71% |
Darja Semenistaja | 1% | 30% |
Darja Semenistaja vs. Marie Bouzkova was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Marie Bouzkova led the market at 85% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Darja Semenistaja at 15%.
Marie Bouzkova held the lead at 85% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Marie Bouzkova, Darja Semenistaja at 15% were the next closest contenders. The 28.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Marie Bouzkova: 99¢ on Kalshi, 71¢ on Polymarket. Darja Semenistaja: 1¢ on Kalshi, 30¢ on Polymarket. The 28.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 85¢ meant the market estimated a 85% chance that Marie Bouzkova would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 85¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 18% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Marie Bouzkova wins the Bouzkova vs Semenistaja professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Bogota Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Bouzkova vs Semenistaja professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Bogota Quarterfinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Marie Bouzkova and Darja Semenistaja in the Copa Colsanitas, scheduled for April 3 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marie Bouzkova' if Marie Bouzkova advances against Darja Semenistaja. This market will resolve to 'Darja Semenistaja' if Darja Semenistaja advances against Marie Bouzkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marie Bouzkova
84.8% avg
