Live prediction market odds for Diana Shnaider vs. Leylah Fernandez. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-02
This market resolved on 2026-04-02. Diana Shnaider was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 82%.
Diana Shnaider vs. Leylah Fernandez — WTA Tennis match held on 2026-04-02. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Diana ShnaiderWINNER | 99% | 65% |
Leylah Fernandez | 1% | 36% |
Diana Shnaider vs. Leylah Fernandez was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Diana Shnaider led the market at 82% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Leylah Fernandez at 18%.
Diana Shnaider held the lead at 82% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Diana Shnaider, Leylah Fernandez at 18% were the next closest contenders. The 34.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Diana Shnaider: 99¢ on Kalshi, 65¢ on Polymarket. Leylah Fernandez: 1¢ on Kalshi, 36¢ on Polymarket. The 34.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 82¢ meant the market estimated a 82% chance that Diana Shnaider would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 82¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 22% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Leylah Fernandez wins the Fernandez vs Shnaider professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Charleston Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Fernandez vs Shnaider professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Charleston Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Leylah Fernandez and Diana Shnaider in the Credit One Charleston Open, scheduled for April 2 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leylah Fernandez' if Leylah Fernandez advances against Diana Shnaider. This market will resolve to 'Diana Shnaider' if Diana Shnaider advances against Leylah Fernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Diana Shnaider
81.8% avg
