Live prediction market odds for Ella Seidel vs. Darja Semenistaja. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-30
This market resolved on 2026-03-30. Darja Semenistaja was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 82%.
Ella Seidel vs. Darja Semenistaja — WTA Tennis match held on 2026-03-30. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Darja SemenistajaWINNER | 99% | 65% |
Ella Seidel | 1% | 35% |
Ella Seidel vs. Darja Semenistaja was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Darja Semenistaja led the market at 82% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Ella Seidel at 18%.
Darja Semenistaja held the lead at 82% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Darja Semenistaja, Ella Seidel at 18% were the next closest contenders. The 34.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Darja Semenistaja: 99¢ on Kalshi, 65¢ on Polymarket. Ella Seidel: 1¢ on Kalshi, 35¢ on Polymarket. The 34.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 82¢ meant the market estimated a 82% chance that Darja Semenistaja would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 82¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 22% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Darja Semenistaja
82.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Ella Seidel wins the Semenistaja vs Seidel professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Bogota Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Semenistaja vs Seidel professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Bogota Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Ella Seidel and Darja Semenistaja in the Copa Colsanitas, scheduled for March 30 2026. This market will resolve to "Seidel" if Ella Seidel wins by 2 or more sets than Darja Semenistaja, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Semenistaja." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.
