Live prediction market odds for Jessica Pegula vs. Elena Rybakina. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-26
This market resolved on 2026-03-26. Elena Rybakina was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 83%.
Jessica Pegula vs. Elena Rybakina — WTA Tennis match held on 2026-03-26. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Elena RybakinaWINNER | 99% | 67% |
Jessica Pegula | 1% | 34% |
Jessica Pegula vs. Elena Rybakina was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Elena Rybakina led the market at 83% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Jessica Pegula at 17%.
Elena Rybakina held the lead at 83% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Elena Rybakina, Jessica Pegula at 17% were the next closest contenders. The 32.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Elena Rybakina: 99¢ on Kalshi, 67¢ on Polymarket. Jessica Pegula: 1¢ on Kalshi, 34¢ on Polymarket. The 32.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 83¢ meant the market estimated a 83% chance that Elena Rybakina would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 83¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 20% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Elena Rybakina wins the Rybakina vs Pegula professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Rybakina vs Pegula professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Quarterfinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Elena Rybakina and Jessica Pegula in the Miami Open, scheduled for March 25 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elena Rybakina' if Elena Rybakina advances against Jessica Pegula. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Pegula' if Jessica Pegula advances against Elena Rybakina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Elena Rybakina
82.8% avg
