Live prediction market odds for Karolina Muchova vs. Coco Gauff. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-25
This market resolved on 2026-03-25. Coco Gauff was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 75%.
Karolina Muchova vs. Coco Gauff — WTA Tennis match held on 2026-03-25. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Coco GauffWINNER | 99% | 52% |
Karolina Muchova | 1% | 49% |
Karolina Muchova vs. Coco Gauff was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Coco Gauff led the market at 75% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Karolina Muchova at 25%.
Coco Gauff held the lead at 75% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Coco Gauff, Karolina Muchova at 25% were the next closest contenders. The 47.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Coco Gauff: 99¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. Karolina Muchova: 1¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. The 47.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 75¢ meant the market estimated a 75% chance that Coco Gauff would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 75¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 33% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Coco Gauff wins the Gauff vs Muchova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Gauff vs Muchova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Semifinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Coco Gauff and Karolina Muchova in the Miami Open, scheduled for March 26 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Coco Gauff' if Coco Gauff advances against Karolina Muchova. This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Coco Gauff. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Coco Gauff
75.3% avg
