Live prediction market odds for Varvara Lepchenko vs. Lia Karatancheva. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-01
This market resolved on 2026-04-01. Varvara Lepchenko was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 81%.
Varvara Lepchenko vs. Lia Karatancheva — WTA Tennis match held on 2026-04-01. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Varvara LepchenkoWINNER | 99% | 63% |
Lia Karatancheva | 1% | 38% |
Varvara Lepchenko vs. Lia Karatancheva was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Varvara Lepchenko led the market at 81% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Lia Karatancheva at 19%.
Varvara Lepchenko held the lead at 81% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Varvara Lepchenko, Lia Karatancheva at 19% were the next closest contenders. The 36.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Varvara Lepchenko: 99¢ on Kalshi, 63¢ on Polymarket. Lia Karatancheva: 1¢ on Kalshi, 38¢ on Polymarket. The 36.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 81¢ meant the market estimated a 81% chance that Varvara Lepchenko would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 81¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 23% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Varvara Lepchenko vs. Lia Karatancheva” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 2K+ Discord community
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Varvara Lepchenko wins the Karatancheva vs Lepchenko professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Bogota Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Karatancheva vs Lepchenko professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Bogota Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Lia Karatancheva and Varvara Lepchenko in the Copa Colsanitas, scheduled for March 31 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lia Karatancheva' if Lia Karatancheva advances against Varvara Lepchenko. This market will resolve to 'Varvara Lepchenko' if Varvara Lepchenko advances against Lia Karatancheva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Varvara Lepchenko
80.8% avg
