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Live prediction market odds for Zimbabwe vs South Africa. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Live prediction market odds for Zimbabwe vs South Africa. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-01
This market resolved on 2026-03-01. South Africa was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 95%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
South AfricaWINNER | 99% | 92% |
Zimbabwe | 1% | 9% |
Zimbabwe vs South Africa was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). South Africa led the market at 95% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Zimbabwe at 5%.
South Africa held the lead at 95% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind South Africa, Zimbabwe at 5% were the next closest contenders. The 7.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: South Africa: 99¢ on Kalshi, 92¢ on Polymarket. Zimbabwe: 1¢ on Kalshi, 9¢ on Polymarket. The 7.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 95¢ meant the market estimated a 95% chance that South Africa would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 95¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 5% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Zimbabwe is the winner of the Zimbabwe vs South Africa professional Men's T20 World Cup Cricket match originally scheduled for Mar 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
South Africa
95.3% avg