Vig & No-Vig Fair Odds Calculator

Remove the overround from American odds, decimal odds, implied probabilities, or prediction market prices.

Input Format

Results

Implied Probability A

52.4%

Implied Probability B

52.4%

Overround / Vig

+4.76%

No-Vig Fair Probability A

50.0%

Fair American odds: +100

No-Vig Fair Probability B

50.0%

Fair American odds: +100

What does this calculator do?

The vig calculator strips the house margin out of quoted market prices and shows you the true implied probability for each outcome. In a sportsbook, the implied probabilities usually add to more than 100%; that excess is the overround, also called vig or juice. On an exchange, use the executable YES and NO ask prices when you want to measure the cost of buying both sides. Midpoints or last-trade prices may add to exactly 100% and do not capture the bid-ask spread.

Enter American odds, decimal odds, implied probabilities, or market prices in cents for each side. The calculator computes the total overround, the vig percentage, and the no-vig fair probability for each outcome. For a two-outcome market priced at 55¢ and 52¢, the total is $1.07 — meaning the market contains 7% vig. The no-vig probability for each side is its price divided by the total, giving you the market's true estimate stripped of that margin.

This matters most when you're trying to assess whether your own probability estimate represents an edge over the market. If you think an event has a 60% chance and the no-vig price is 58%, you have a potential 2-point edge. But if you're comparing against the raw quoted price rather than the no-vig price, you might conclude you have a larger edge than actually exists. The no-vig price is the honest baseline for edge calculation.

Use this alongside the Expected Value calculator to measure your true edge, and the Market Fees calculator to factor in platform costs. All three together give you a complete picture of whether a trade is worth making.

Frequently Asked Questions

What’s a typical vig in prediction markets?

It varies by platform and market liquidity. Polymarket markets often run 2-5% overround. Kalshi varies by market. Highly liquid, well-traded markets tend to have lower vig than obscure or low-volume ones. You can use this calculator on any market to check before trading.

How is no-vig probability calculated?

Divide each outcome’s price by the sum of all prices. If YES is 0.55 and NO is 0.52, the sum is 1.07. No-vig YES = 0.55 / 1.07 ≈ 51.4%. No-vig NO = 0.52 / 1.07 ≈ 48.6%. These now sum to exactly 100%.

Can I use this for sportsbook odds?

Yes. Choose American or Decimal directly in the input-format switcher. You can also enter implied probability percentages or prediction market prices in cents without converting them first.

What’s the difference between vig and juice?

Nothing — they’re the same thing. Vig (short for vigorish) and juice are both terms for the margin built into market prices. Overround is the same concept expressed differently: if all outcomes sum to 107%, the overround is 7%.