NFL · 2026-27 Season
Season-long NFL markets - Super Bowl and conference odds, all eight division races, win totals, MVP and the award races, stat leaders and the 2027 draft - compared across every platform quoting them.
Who lifts the Lombardi - and who gets there.
NFL futures odds on a prediction market are not a bookmaker's line - they are the last traded price of a contract, set by whoever is willing to buy and sell it. Every outcome on this page trades as its own contract that settles at $1.00 if it happens and nothing if it does not, quoted in cents in between. That makes the price and the probability the same number: a team at 15¢ to win the Super Bowl is the market saying 15%, with no vig to strip out first. Compare that to a sportsbook's +567 on the same team and you are comparing a clean probability against one with margin folded in.
This page is the season-long half of our NFL coverage: the Super Bowl champion, AFC and NFC titles, all eight division races, regular-season win totals, the award races - MVP, Offensive and Defensive Player of the Year, both Rookie of the Year awards, Coach of the Year and Comeback Player of the Year - plus season stat props, stat leaders and the 2027 draft. The week in front of you lives on the NFL game odds board, where each matchup opens its own analysis page.
Two venues carry most of the futures volume and they rarely agree exactly. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange trading in USD, and lists the widest futures inventory we track - it is usually the deepest book on the award races. Polymarket settles in USDC, draws global participation, and typically carries the largest size on the marquee markets. A two-to-four cent spread on the same team is routine; a wider one on a liquid market means the cheaper side is the better entry for an identical payoff.
The same futures price can be written three ways. Contracts quote cents, forecasters use percentages, and sportsbooks use American odds - all describing one number.
| Price | Implied | American | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5¢ | 5% | +1900 | Longshot - a dozen teams sit here in August |
| 10¢ | 10% | +900 | Live contender, not a favorite |
| 15¢ | 15% | +567 | Typical Super Bowl favorite this far out |
| 25¢ | 25% | +300 | Clear conference favorite |
| 50¢ | 50% | +100 | Coin flip - common in a two-team division race |
| 75¢ | 75% | -300 | Heavy favorite; little room left to gain |
Full conversion in both directions - including decimal and fractional - in the odds converter.
Team futures resolve on the field. Award markets resolve on a vote - and that changes everything about how they price. MVP, Offensive and Defensive Player of the Year, the two Rookie of the Year awards and Coach of the Year are decided by voters, so availability, narrative and team success move them as much as production does. A quarterback on a twelve-win team beats a statistically better one on a six-win team more often than the numbers justify, and every award market carries that bias in its price.
Coach of the Year is the least efficient of them, and worth watching for that reason. The award rewards year-over-year improvement rather than absolute quality, so the field turns over almost completely every season and August priors carry very little information. The market usually only converges once a team nobody expected is six or seven games into a winning record - which means the interesting window is in-season, not in the summer.
Because awards are priced by fewer traders than the championship board, they also stay looser for longer between platforms. Where two venues quote the same award and disagree by more than a couple of cents, that is usually thin-market lag rather than a real difference of opinion - and for an identical payoff the cheaper quote is simply the better entry.
A conference title is a strictly easier outcome than a Super Bowl, and a division title easier still, so a team's three prices should stack in that order. The ratios between them are where the information is. A team priced well up on its division but barely up on its conference is one the market rates as a likely playoff team and an unlikely contender; a team whose championship price sits close to its conference price is one the market thinks wins the Super Bowl if it gets there. Both readings are visible on this page because all three boards are priced side by side.
Every family below is priced across all quoting platforms in the boards above.
The outright market: 32 contracts, one per team, each settling at $1.00 if that team wins Super Bowl LXI. Prices are quoted in cents, so a team at 15¢ is the market saying 15%. This is the deepest NFL futures market on every platform we track and the one that reprices fastest on injury and trade news.
Conference winners - who reaches the Super Bowl rather than who wins it. Because a conference title is a strictly easier outcome, a team’s AFC or NFC price is always above its championship price; the ratio between the two is a clean read on how the market rates its title odds conditional on getting there.
All eight division races, each a four-team field. Divisions are where prediction market pricing diverges most from consensus power rankings, because a division title depends on six intra-division games rather than league-wide strength.
Season-long team markets: regular-season win totals, best and worst record, highest and lowest scoring offense, and playoff qualification for each team. Win totals trade as threshold contracts (“9+ wins”) rather than over/under lines, so the price is a direct probability instead of a number attached to a price.
MVP, Offensive and Defensive Player of the Year, both Rookie of the Year awards, Coach of the Year and Comeback Player of the Year. Awards are voter markets, not outcome markets - they price a ballot, which is why they move on narrative and snap counts as much as on production. Coach of the Year is the least efficient of them: the field turns over almost completely every season, so priors carry little information and the market takes months to settle on a favorite.
Season stat thresholds by player: 1,000+ receiving yards, 4,000+ passing yards, 10+ rushing touchdowns and more, plus the marquee stat-leader markets. This is the inventory conventional odds pages skip - most only carry props once a week’s slate is posted. For single-game props, the game-week board has them as each slate posts.
Next April’s draft, already trading: which player goes first overall and which team ends up holding the pick. The team market is effectively an inverse of the win-total board, and the two often disagree early in the season.
The current slate: moneylines, spreads, totals and player props.
Where our model disagrees with the market consensus.
Large positions as they hit, by wallet track record.
Cross-platform price gaps wide enough to lock in both sides.
Cents, implied probability, American, decimal and fractional.
Prices come from each platform's own API and refresh at least once a minute. Contracts are quoted in cents and shown as implied probabilities, so a 15¢ price reads as 15%. A board hides when no platform is quoting its market - an empty section means no live market rather than an error. Market availability, eligibility and legality vary by platform and by state. This page is informational and is not betting or investment advice.
Live forecast
Season underway · consensus across 4 platforms
Every team's chance to win its division - brighter means likelier. Each cell opens that division's full odds page.
Biggest price swings across NFL markets, refreshed every few minutes.
Last 24h of trades by $10K+ lifetime-profit wallets across NFL markets - game markets plus season futures. Expect this to fill in as the season approaches.
Live bets from traders with profitable track records.
