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Free Prediction Market Picks and Best Bets Today

Get the best free picks today with our expert and smart money-driven prediction market bets. Compare politics, events and sports picks on Kalshi, Polymarket and more. Our daily picks show entry prices and a graded track record, backed by 3+ proven winners (with a $10K+ lifetime profit) buying the same side in the past 24 hours.

Picks are informational, not investment advice. Past wallet performance does not guarantee future results.

Methodology

How we calculate prediction market picks

Our free expert picks are driven by a consensus of winning trades from profitable wallets tracked over time. To break down our smart money flow, an event qualifies when three or more wallets with $10K+ in lifetime profit are buying the same side within the past 24 hours. We use that to give one pick per event, ranked by how followable the price still is and how much conviction is behind it. All our picks are free to view, with no account needed.

If you're looking to trade both sides of an event, you can also see our live prediction market arbitrage recommendations.

Our track record

Every pick is logged before the outcome is known and graded at the price first shown when it surfaced. All wins and losses are then marked against market resolution. That full audit trail is viewable above, including the 7-day win rate and average return. See the graded record.

Where our picks come from - Best bets on Kalshi and Polymarket

We pull our free picks from Polymarket and Kalshi trending markets, including NFL, midterms, combos and perps. Our top trades for September are then ranked by wallet conviction and consensus, so you can compare today's best Kalshi and Polymarket picks across all live markets.

What is consensus?

For our expert picks we use consensus. This is based on how many individual smart money wallets are lined up on the same side of a market (so essentially tracking the amount of capital positioned that way). Each of our picks shows a consensus label: broad consensus (money spread across several wallets), somewhat concentrated, or ⚠ one wallet dominates, which flags if a signal rests on a single trader.

What is smart money?

Smart money (or sharp money) is the investment trend seen from experienced or well informed professional traders. In prediction markets, smart money refers to wallets with a proven, profitable track record. Specifically for our picks this is $10K+ in lifetime profit, rather than the trend set by the market as a whole. We track when these wallets move and flag when several are buying the same side within a 24-hour window.

What are signals?

Signals are triggers to buy or sell in trading, usually coming from technical analyses of market trends, movements, or set rules. In predictions, a signal is the underlying data behind a pick. This can be wallet consensus, price movement, or a contract that looks mispriced relative to its real-world probability. For our best bets, every pick card shows the signal that triggered it.

Trading responsibly

Trading responsibly

Our picks are informational, and intended to help inform your trading rather than being explicit investment advice. Past wallet performance shouldn't be taken as a guarantee of future results. Remember also that a pick's entry price may no longer be available by the time you view it.

It's best to treat your prediction market trades like any speculative trading, and play to your strengths with trades on markets you know and follow. Always verify each platform's resolution criteria and rules, and only trade what you can afford to lose.

FAQ

Prediction market picks FAQs

What are prediction market picks?

Prediction picks are recommendations for event contracts on Kalshi, Polymarket and similar platforms that pay $1 if an outcome happens. Each of our picks names the event, the side to back, and the live price it was surfaced at, so you can judge the entry the same way we grade it.

How does Prediction Hunt choose its picks?

Our picks are driven by smart money and consensus, not by editorial opinion. A pick is triggered for an event when at least three wallets that have seen $10K+ in profit have taken the same position in the previous 24 hours.

How is the track record graded?

Each pick gets logged at the exact price it surfaced and before anyone knows the event outcome. Once the market resolves, that price is checked against the result to mark a win or loss. We never add, adjust or remove the list items after the fact.

Are the picks free?

Yes, completely. This page is free to view, and no account is needed to access the picks and best bets. The same smart money signals are also available programmatically through the Prediction Hunt API.

Is this financial advice?

No. Picks reflect where historically profitable wallets are positioned and are informational only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. We suggest you always do your own research and check each platform's resolution rules before trading.

Can I practice before trading real money?

Yes. You can track any pick in our free Paper Trading Simulator without risking real funds.