College Football · 2026 Season
Season-long college football markets - national championship odds for all 50 quoted contenders, the SEC, Big Ten and Big 12 title races, undefeated-season props and the Heisman Trophy - compared across every platform quoting them.
Who wins it all - and the conference title race with live markets.
College football futures odds on a prediction market are not a bookmaker's line - they are the last traded price of a contract, set by whoever is willing to buy and sell it. Every outcome on this page trades as its own contract that settles at $1.00 if it happens and nothing if it does not, quoted in cents in between. That makes the price and the probability the same number: a team at 15¢ to win the national championship is the market saying 15%, with no vig to strip out first. Compare that to a sportsbook's +567 on the same team and you are comparing a clean probability against one with margin folded in.
This page is the season-long half of our college football coverage: the national championship for all 50 quoted contenders, the conference title races with live markets, per-team undefeated-season props and the Heisman Trophy. The week in front of you lives on the college football game odds board, where each matchup opens its own analysis page.
Two venues carry the futures volume and they rarely agree exactly. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange trading in USD, and lists the widest CFB futures inventory we track - the championship field, the conference races and the perfection props. Polymarket settles in USDC, draws global participation, and runs the deepest Heisman book. A two-to-four cent spread on the same outcome is routine; a wider one on a liquid market means the cheaper side is the better entry for an identical payoff.
The same futures price can be written three ways. Contracts quote cents, forecasters use percentages, and sportsbooks use American odds - all describing one number.
| Price | Implied | American | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2¢ | 2% | +4900 | Deep longshot - most of a 50-team field lives here |
| 5¢ | 5% | +1900 | Fringe contender with a playoff path |
| 10¢ | 10% | +900 | Legitimate title contender |
| 15¢ | 15% | +567 | Typical preseason favorite - nobody clears 20% in August |
| 25¢ | 25% | +300 | A favorite deep in the Playoff bracket |
| 50¢ | 50% | +100 | Coin flip - championship-game territory |
Full conversion in both directions - including decimal and fractional - in the odds converter.
College football futures carry the same structural discount that keeps baseball favorites cheap, for a different reason: the bracket. Winning the title now means surviving three or four single-elimination games against playoff-grade opponents, and single elimination is brutal math - a team that would be a 70% favorite in every round still wins four straight barely a quarter of the time. That is why no championship favorite trades near the prices NFL favorites reach, and why a dominant September barely moves the title board: the market is not underrating the roster, it is pricing the format. The practical read is the same as baseball's - championship prices compress toward the field as the bracket approaches, so the widest edges usually live earlier in the season.
The same format math makes the ratio between a team's prices informative. A conference title is an easier outcome than a national one, so the two should stack - and a team whose national price sits unusually close to its conference price is one the market expects to be seeded and favored deep into the bracket.
Undefeated-season contracts are one-way streets: a single loss settles them at zero, so they only ever get cheaper or expire - there is no October comeback for a September upset. They decay on schedule difficulty rather than talent, which makes them the page's purest scheduling trade. The Heisman resolves on a vote, and voter markets have their own physics: the award follows quarterbacks on winning teams, narrative moves prices as much as production, and one marquee-game performance can reprice the entire board overnight. Both families are priced by fewer traders than the championship field, which is why they stay looser for longer between platforms - and why the cheaper of two quotes on the same outcome is simply the better entry for an identical payoff.
Every family below is priced across all quoting platforms in the boards above.
The outright market: one contract per quoted team - 50 of them - each settling at $1.00 if that team wins the 2026-27 College Football Playoff. Prices are quoted in cents, so a team at 15¢ is the market saying 15%. A 12-team playoff keeps this board honest: even elite teams carry two or three knockout rounds of risk, which is why no favorite trades close to the prices NFL or MLB favorites reach.
One contract per team to win its conference title game. The SEC, Big Ten and Big 12 boards are live today; the remaining conferences typically fill out as the season approaches. Conference prices always sit above the same team's national price, and the ratio between the two is a clean read on how the market rates its playoff draw.
Per-team props on running the table in the regular season. These decay fast - one loss settles a contract at zero, so prices halve on a single upset Saturday - and they are the sharpest instrument on the page for trading a view on schedule strength rather than talent.
A voter market, not an outcome market - it prices a December ballot, which is why preseason favorites are so fragile: the award follows quarterbacks on winning teams, and a September benching or a team collapse can zero a favorite faster than any injury. Priced on both Kalshi and Polymarket, and the two rarely agree exactly.
The current slate: moneylines and totals, updated all week.
Where our model disagrees with the market consensus.
Large positions as they hit, by wallet track record.
Cross-platform price gaps wide enough to lock in both sides.
Cents, implied probability, American, decimal and fractional.
The pro season hub: Super Bowl, divisions, awards and the draft.
Prices come from each platform's own API and refresh at least once a minute. Contracts are quoted in cents and shown as implied probabilities, so a 15¢ price reads as 15%. A board hides when no platform is quoting its market - an empty section means no live market rather than an error. Market availability, eligibility and legality vary by platform and by state. This page is informational and is not betting or investment advice.
Live forecast
Season underway · consensus across 1 platform
Each conference's top contenders by chance to win the national championship - brighter means likelier. Each cell opens the championship market's full odds page.
Biggest price swings across college football markets, refreshed every few minutes.
Last 24h of trades by $10K+ lifetime-profit wallets across college football markets - game markets plus season futures. Expect this to fill in as the season approaches.
Live bets from traders with profitable track records.
