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Live prediction market odds for Luca Van Assche vs. Arthur Fils. Compare prices across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Novig / Polymarket

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Luca Van Assche vs. Arthur Fils

ATP·2026-09-30

Best price · tap to trade

Arthur Fils83¢1.20xKalshiLuca Van Assche16¢6.25xKalshi
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Resolved Sep 28

Final odds

About This Market

Traders give Arthur Fils about a 83.8% chance. Luca Van Assche follows at 16.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Novig, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.5 percentage points.

Traders give Arthur Fils about a 83.8% chance. Luca Van Assche follows at 16.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Novig, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.5 percentage points.

Luca Van Assche vs. Arthur Fils: ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-09-30. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
NovigNovig
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
AF
Arthur Fils
84%
Kalshi83¢
Novig85¢
Polymarket84¢
Kalshi1.20x83¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
82.5%82¢83¢17¢18¢
NovigNovig
85.0%83¢85¢15¢17¢
PolymarketPolymarket
84.0%83¢84¢16¢17¢
LV
Luca Van Assche
16%
Kalshi16¢
Novig17¢
Polymarket17¢
Kalshi6.25x16¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
15.5%15¢16¢84¢85¢
NovigNovig
17.0%15¢17¢83¢85¢
PolymarketPolymarket
16.0%16¢17¢83¢84¢
KalshiKalshiNovigNovigPolymarketPolymarket

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.5%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Arthur Fils

83.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Luca Van Assche vs. Arthur Fils

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Luca Van Assche wins the Fils vs Van Assche professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Tokyo Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Fils vs Van Assche professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Tokyo Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Luca Van Assche in Luca Van Assche @ Arthur Fils Round of 32 (ATP); settled by Novig.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fils and Luca Van Assche in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fils' if Arthur Fils advances against Luca Van Assche. This market will resolve to 'Luca Van Assche' if Luca Van Assche advances against Arthur Fils. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Luca Van Assche vs. Arthur Fils prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Luca Van Assche vs. Arthur Fils odds?

The latest available prices are Arthur Fils: 82.5¢ on Kalshi, 84.0¢ on Polymarket, 85.0¢ on Novig; Luca Van Assche: 15.5¢ on Kalshi, 16.0¢ on Polymarket, 17.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Luca Van Assche vs. Arthur Fils odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 2.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Luca Van Assche vs. Arthur Fils prediction market payouts work?

For example, Arthur Fils at 83.8¢ implies about a 83.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.