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Kansas State Wildcats vs.
Kansas State Wildcats vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: College Football game held on 2026-09-26. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Kansas State Wildcats vs. Cincinnati Bearcats. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

College Football·Resolved 2026-09-26
This market resolved on 2026-09-26. Cincinnati Bearcats was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 96%.
Kansas State Wildcats vs.
Kansas State Wildcats vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: College Football game held on 2026-09-26. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Over 46.5 points scored | 100% | — | — | — | — |
Total over 37.5 | 100% | — | — | 99% | — |
Cincinnati Bearcats spread plus 26.5 | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Over 31.5 points scored | 99% | — | — | — | — |
Over 34.5 points scored | 99% | — | — | — | — |
Kansas State Wildcats spread plus 14.5 | — | 94% | — | 51% | — |
Cincinnati BearcatsWINNER | 100% | 32% | 96% | 100% | 93% |
Total under 73.5 | — | 86% | — | 95% | — |
Cincinnati Bearcats spread plus 23.5 | — | 89% | — | 90% | — |
Total under 67.5 | — | 76% | — | 95% | — |
Kansas State Wildcats spread plus 8.5 | — | 84% | — | 99% | — |
Total over 39.5 | — | 83% | — | 99% | — |
Cincinnati Bearcats spread plus 20.5 | — | 84% | — | 82% | — |
Kansas State Wildcats spread plus 4.5 | — | 85% | — | 81% | 60% |
Cincinnati Bearcats spread plus 19.5 | — | 80% | — | 1% | — |
Total over 43.5 | 100% | 77% | — | 93% | 57% |
Total under 37.5 | — | — | — | 77% | — |
Cincinnati Bearcats spread plus 16.5 | — | 77% | — | 76% | — |
Total over 45.5 | — | 72% | — | 81% | — |
Cincinnati Bearcats spread plus 14.5 | — | 77% | — | 75% | — |
Kansas State Wildcats spread plus 0.5 | — | 76% | — | 1% | — |
Kansas State Wildcats spread plus 10.5 | — | 90% | — | 59% | — |
Total over 50.5 | 100% | — | — | — | 73% |
Total under 63.5 | — | 68% | — | 99% | 74% |
Kansas State Wildcats spread minus 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 96% | 44% |
Total under 69.5 | — | 78% | — | 62% | — |
Total under 65.5 | — | 72% | — | 63% | — |
Kansas State Wildcats spread minus 0.5 | — | 67% | — | 1% | — |
Kansas State Wildcats spread plus 1.5 | — | 69% | — | 67% | 42% |
Total over 35.5 | — | — | — | 67% | — |
Total over 49.5 | 100% | 66% | — | 94% | 63% |
Cincinnati Bearcats spread minus 2.5 | 100% | 29% | — | 77% | 65% |
Total over 40.5 | 99% | — | — | — | 65% |
Total under 61.5 | — | 64% | — | 8% | 87% |
Total under 75.5 | — | 87% | — | 41% | — |
Kansas State Wildcats spread plus 2.5 | — | 72% | — | 64% | 38% |
Total under 71.5 | — | 81% | — | 42% | — |
Total over 41.5 | — | 79% | — | 53% | 60% |
Total over 53.5 | 100% | 56% | — | 84% | 60% |
Cincinnati Bearcats spread plus 12.5 | — | — | — | 56% | 64% |
Total under 59.5 | — | 60% | — | 99% | 58% |
Cincinnati Bearcats spread plus 8.5 | — | 59% | — | 46% | 65% |
Cincinnati Bearcats spread plus 7.5 | — | 59% | — | 49% | 63% |
Cincinnati Bearcats spread plus 9.5 | — | 61% | — | 57% | 51% |
Total under 35.5 | — | — | — | 57% | — |
Cincinnati Bearcats spread plus 11.5 | — | — | — | 53% | 60% |
Cincinnati Bearcats spread plus 10.5 | — | 66% | — | 55% | 55% |
Total over 51.5 | 100% | 60% | — | 100% | 50% |
Total over 54.5 | 100% | — | — | — | 55% |
Total under 51.5 | — | 40% | — | 77% | 54% |
Kansas State Wildcats spread minus 9.5 | 1% | 39% | — | 57% | 54% |
Cincinnati Bearcats spread plus 1.5 | — | 35% | — | 99% | 71% |
Kansas State Wildcats spread minus 22.5 | — | — | — | 53% | — |
Total over 52.5 | 100% | — | — | — | 53% |
Total under 55.5 | — | 50% | 78% | 24% | 56% |
Cincinnati Bearcats spread plus 6.5 | — | 52% | 99% | 54% | 53% |
Total over 55.5 | 100% | 49% | 50% | 98% | 55% |
Kansas State Wildcats spread minus 5.5 | 1% | 52% | 52% | 0% | 45% |
Kansas State Wildcats spread minus 1.5 | 1% | 65% | — | 100% | 38% |
Total under 57.5 | — | 55% | — | 41% | 51% |
Cincinnati Bearcats spread plus 13.5 | — | 70% | — | 49% | 51% |
Total over 47.5 | — | 74% | — | 42% | 51% |
Kansas State Wildcats spread plus 11.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Kansas State Wildcats spread minus 3.5 | 1% | 58% | — | 27% | 50% |
Cincinnati Bearcats spread minus 1.5 | 100% | 31% | — | 99% | 67% |
Cincinnati Bearcats spread plus 5.5 | — | 48% | 48% | 50% | 58% |
Kansas State Wildcats spread minus 6.5 | 1% | 48% | 14% | 0% | 52% |
Total under 43.5 | — | 22% | — | 51% | 47% |
Cincinnati Bearcats spread plus 3.5 | — | 43% | — | 46% | 53% |
Cincinnati Bearcats spread plus 4.5 | — | 46% | — | 27% | 58% |
Total under 53.5 | — | 44% | — | 45% | 65% |
Kansas State Wildcats spread minus 2.5 | 1% | 64% | — | 27% | 44% |
Total under 41.5 | — | 17% | — | 47% | 43% |
Total over 57.5 | — | 43% | — | 41% | 52% |
Total over 71.5 | — | 15% | — | 71% | — |
Kansas State Wildcats spread plus 7.5 | — | 84% | — | 2% | — |
Total over 59.5 | — | 39% | — | 1% | 45% |
Total under 47.5 | — | 26% | — | 58% | — |
Kansas State Wildcats spread minus 7.5 | 1% | 42% | — | 49% | 41% |
Kansas State Wildcats spread minus 12.5 | — | — | — | 39% | 44% |
Kansas State Wildcats spread minus 8.5 | — | 41% | — | 46% | 40% |
Kansas State Wildcats spread minus 10.5 | 1% | 34% | — | 0% | 48% |
Total over 75.5 | — | 10% | — | 70% | — |
Cincinnati Bearcats spread plus 2.5 | — | 37% | — | 27% | 65% |
Kansas State Wildcats spread minus 4.5 | 2% | 54% | — | 27% | 46% |
Cincinnati Bearcats spread minus 10.5 | 1% | 11% | — | 59% | — |
Total over 63.5 | — | 30% | — | 39% | 34% |
Total under 49.5 | — | 34% | — | 34% | 42% |
Total over 58.5 | 1% | — | — | — | 34% |
Cincinnati Bearcats spread plus 0.5 | — | 33% | — | 99% | — |
Cincinnati Bearcats spread minus 4.5 | 100% | 16% | — | 99% | 45% |
Kansas State Wildcats spread minus 13.5 | 1% | 30% | — | 12% | 54% |
Total over 61.5 | 1% | 35% | — | 0% | 23% |
Total over 69.5 | — | 18% | — | 39% | — |
Total over 65.5 | — | 26% | — | 1% | — |
Cincinnati Bearcats spread minus 0.5 | — | 24% | — | — | — |
Kansas State Wildcats spread minus 14.5 | 1% | 23% | — | 23% | — |
Total over 67.5 | 1% | 23% | — | 1% | — |
Total under 45.5 | — | 26% | — | 19% | — |
Kansas State Wildcats spread minus 19.5 | — | 17% | — | 99% | — |
Kansas State Wildcats spread minus 20.5 | 1% | 17% | — | 0% | — |
Total under 39.5 | — | 13% | — | 19% | — |
Kansas State Wildcats spread minus 16.5 | 1% | 23% | — | 7% | — |
Cincinnati Bearcats spread minus 8.5 | — | 13% | — | 1% | — |
Kansas State Wildcats spread minus 23.5 | 1% | 12% | — | 1% | — |
Total over 73.5 | 1% | 14% | — | 9% | — |
Kansas State Wildcats | 1% | 68% | 6% | 0% | 11% |
Cincinnati Bearcats spread minus 7.5 | 1% | 16% | — | 2% | — |
Cincinnati Bearcats spread minus 14.5 | 1% | 7% | — | 1% | — |
Cincinnati Bearcats spread plus 22.5 | — | — | — | 1% | — |
Kansas State Wildcats spread minus 26.5 | — | — | — | 1% | — |
Cincinnati Bearcats spread minus 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 1% | — |
Kansas St. wins by over 24.5 points | 1% | — | — | — | — |
Over 64.5 points scored | 1% | — | — | — | — |
Over 70.5 points scored | 1% | — | — | — | — |
Cincinnati Bearcats spread minus 13.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Cincinnati Bearcats spread minus 3.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Cincinnati Bearcats spread minus 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Cincinnati Bearcats spread minus 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Cincinnati Bearcats spread minus 9.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Kansas St. wins by over 17.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Kansas St. wins by over 21.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Kansas St. wins by over 27.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Cincinnati Bearcats
84.1% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Kansas St. wins the Kansas St. vs Cincinnati college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
NovigKansas State Wildcats in Kansas State @ Cincinnati (NCAAF); settled by Novig.
PolymarketIn the upcoming college football game between Kansas State and Cincinnati, scheduled for September 26 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas State" if Kansas State win the game. This market will resolve to "Cincinnati" if Cincinnati win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Kansas State vs Cincinnati College Football game scheduled for Sep 26, 2026. Overtime is included if played. If a tied final score is reported and no official winner is declared, this market will not resolve automatically and will be reviewed against the official governing-body result. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Cincinnati Bearcats: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 93.2¢ on ProphetX, 32.0¢ on Polymarket US, 96.0¢ on Novig; Kansas State Wildcats: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 11.3¢ on ProphetX, 68.0¢ on Polymarket US, 5.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 67.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Cincinnati Bearcats at 84.1¢ implies about a 84.1% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.