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Live prediction market odds for Michigan State Spartans vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Notre Dame Fighting Irish Wins: Michigan State Spartans vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish

College Football·Resolved 2026-09-19

This market resolved on 2026-09-19. Notre Dame Fighting Irish was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.

About This Market

Michigan State Spartans vs.

Michigan State Spartans vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish: College Football game held on 2026-09-19. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

5 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Novig
Polymarket
ProphetX
Michigan State Spartans spread plus 22.5
———99%—
Michigan State Spartans spread plus 37.5
———99%—
Notre Dame Fighting Irish spread minus 32.5
———99%—
Notre Dame Fighting Irish spread minus 34.5
———99%—
Notre Dame Fighting Irish spread minus 37.5
———99%—
Notre Dame Fighting Irish spread minus 40.5
———99%—
Notre Dame Fighting Irish spread minus 43.5
———99%—
Notre Dame Fighting Irish spread minus 50.5
———99%—
Total over 47.5
———99%—
Total over 67.5
———99%—
Total over 71.5
———99%—
Total over 73.5
———99%—
Total under 65.5
———99%—
Total under 73.5
———99%—
Total over 69.5
1%——99%—
Notre Dame Fighting IrishWINNER
100%94%97%100%96%
Total over 33.5
90%——99%—
Michigan State Spartans spread plus 30.5
———88%—
Notre Dame Fighting Irish spread minus 9.5
99%——74%—
Notre Dame Fighting Irish spread minus 12.5
———75%—
Notre Dame Fighting Irish spread minus 13.5
95%——48%—
Total under 55.5
———70%—
Total under 57.5
———70%—
Michigan State Spartans spread plus 21.5
———68%—
Total over 59.5
———68%—
Michigan State Spartans spread plus 38.5
———67%—
Michigan State Spartans spread plus 35.5
———66%—
Michigan State Spartans spread plus 34.5
———66%—
Total over 48.5
1%—65%——
Total under 59.5
———62%—
Michigan State Spartans spread plus 23.5
———60%—
Notre Dame Fighting Irish spread minus 16.5
100%——60%—
Michigan State Spartans spread plus 27.5
——53%67%—
Total under 51.5
——52%61%—
Total under 69.5
———55%—
Total under 52.5
——54%54%—
Total under 53.5
———54%—
Total over 45.5
1%——53%—
Notre Dame Fighting Irish spread minus 29.5
1%—50%53%—
Michigan State Spartans spread plus 33.5
———51%—
Total under 37.5
——50%99%—
Michigan State Spartans spread plus 12.5
———49%—
Michigan State Spartans spread plus 28.5
———49%—
Michigan State Spartans spread plus 13.5
———48%—
Michigan State Spartans spread plus 15.5
———48%—
Total under 39.5
———47%—
Total under 43.5
———47%—
Total under 45.5
———47%—
Notre Dame Fighting Irish spread minus 26.5
———46%—
Notre Dame Fighting Irish spread minus 21.5
1%——46%—
Notre Dame Fighting Irish spread minus 28.5
———44%—
Total over 49.5
———44%—
Total under 49.5
———44%—
Total over 39.5
11%——75%—
Total over 37.5
——50%34%—
Notre Dame Fighting Irish spread minus 27.5
2%—47%39%—
Total over 35.5
———39%—
Notre Dame Fighting Irish spread minus 22.5
———37%—
Michigan State Spartans spread plus 24.5
———36%—
Notre Dame Fighting Irish spread minus 35.5
1%——34%—
Total over 51.5
5%—48%34%—
Notre Dame Fighting Irish spread minus 23.5
13%——50%—
Michigan State Spartans spread plus 29.5
——51%9%—
Michigan State Spartans spread plus 9.5
———27%—
Total over 63.5
3%——50%—
Michigan State Spartans spread plus 19.5
———21%—
Notre Dame Fighting Irish spread minus 19.5
———21%—
Notre Dame spread minus 17.5
5%—36%——
Notre Dame Fighting Irish spread minus 24.5
4%——36%—
Notre Dame Fighting Irish spread minus 33.5
2%——28%—
Total over 65.5
———15%—
Notre Dame Fighting Irish spread minus 38.5
5%——22%—
Total over 52.5
3%—46%13%—
Total under 63.5
———11%—
Total over 55.5
5%——17%—
Total under 33.5
———8%—
Michigan State Spartans
1%7%3%0%7%
Total over 57.5
5%——1%—
Total under 35.5
———3%—
Notre Dame Fighting Irish spread minus 30.5
2%——1%—
Michigan State Spartans spread plus 26.5
———1%—
Michigan State Spartans spread plus 31.5
———1%—
Michigan State Spartans spread plus 32.5
———1%—
Michigan State Spartans spread plus 36.5
———1%—
Michigan State Spartans spread plus 40.5
———1%—
Michigan State Spartans spread plus 44.5
———1%—
Michigan State Spartans spread plus 46.5
———1%—
Michigan State Spartans spread plus 50.5
———1%—
Total over 43.5
———1%—
Total under 41.5
———1%—
Total under 47.5
———1%—
Total under 61.5
———1%—
Total under 67.5
———1%—
Total under 71.5
———1%—
Michigan State Spartans spread plus 16.5
———1%—
Notre Dame Fighting Irish spread minus 25.5
———0%—
Notre Dame Fighting Irish spread minus 31.5
———0%—
Michigan State Spartans spread plus 47.5
———0%—
Michigan State Spartans spread plus 25.5
———50%—
Michigan State Spartans spread plus 43.5
———49%—
Notre Dame Fighting Irish spread minus 15.5
—————
Notre Dame Fighting Irish spread minus 36.5
—————
Notre Dame Fighting Irish spread minus 44.5
—————
Notre Dame Fighting Irish spread minus 46.5
—————
Notre Dame Fighting Irish spread minus 47.5
—————
Notre Dame wins by over 10.5 points
—————
Notre Dame wins by over 11.5 points
—————
Notre Dame wins by over 14.5 points
—————
Notre Dame wins by over 20.5 points
—————
Notre Dame wins by over 41.5 points
—————
Notre Dame wins by over 45.5 points
—————
Notre Dame wins by over 48.5 points
—————
Over 36.5 points scored
—————
Over 42.5 points scored
—————
Over 54.5 points scored
—————
Over 56.5 points scored
—————
Over 60.5 points scored
—————
Over 66.5 points scored
—————
Over 72.5 points scored
—————
Over 75.5 points scored
—————
Total over 41.5
—————
Total over 53.5
—————
Total over 61.5
—————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread6.6%
Platforms5
Candidates2
Winner

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

97.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Michigan State Spartans vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Michigan St. wins the Michigan St. vs Notre Dame college football game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the team who wins the Michigan St. vs Notre Dame college football game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026. If the game is postponed from its originally scheduled date but begins within 48 hours, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to the a fair market price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Michigan State Spartans in Michigan State @ Notre Dame (NCAAF); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming college football game between Michigan State and Notre Dame, scheduled for September 19 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Michigan State" if Michigan State win the game. This market will resolve to "Notre Dame" if Notre Dame win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Michigan State vs Notre Dame College Football game scheduled for Sep 19, 2026. Overtime is included if played. If a tied final score is reported and no official winner is declared, this market will not resolve automatically and will be reviewed against the official governing-body result. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Michigan State Spartans vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Michigan State Spartans vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish odds?

The last available prices are Notre Dame Fighting Irish: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.6¢ on Polymarket, 95.5¢ on ProphetX, 93.5¢ on Polymarket US, 96.9¢ on Novig; Michigan State Spartans: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 0.4¢ on Polymarket, 7.0¢ on ProphetX, 6.5¢ on Polymarket US, 3.1¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Michigan State Spartans vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 6.6 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Michigan State Spartans vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish prediction market payouts work?

For example, Notre Dame Fighting Irish at 97.0¢ implies about a 97.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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