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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

Atlanta Braves Wins: Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-09

This market resolved on 2026-08-09. Atlanta Braves was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 95%.

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms

Candidate
Total under 12.5	—	—	—	99%
Jim Jarvis Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%
Mauricio Dubon Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%
New York Yankees spread plus 1.5	—	—	100%	98%
Total under 7.5	—	—	100%	97%
New York Yankees spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	97%
Atlanta Braves spread plus 1.5	—	—	100%	94%
Total under 4.5	—	—	100%	94%
Mike Yastrzemski Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	93%
New York Yankees spread plus 2.5	—	—	100%	93%
Atlanta Braves spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	92%
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	92%
Total under 11.5	—	—	—	92%
Total under 8.5	—	—	100%	92%
Atlanta Braves spread plus 2.5	—	—	100%	91%
Total under 10.5	—	—	—	91%
Total under 6.5	—	—	100%	91%
Total under 9.5	—	—	100%	91%
New York Yankees spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	91%
Cam Schlittler Over 4.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	91%	—
Cam Schlittler Over 5.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	91%	—
Dominic Smith Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	97%
Total under 5.5	—	—	100%	88%
George Lombard Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	96%
Ryan McMahon Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	94%
Austin Riley Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	93%
Drake Baldwin Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	93%
Ozzie Albies Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	93%
Ronald Acuna Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	93%
Atlanta Braves spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	86%
Total under 3.5	—	—	—	86%
Spencer Jones Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	91%
Ben Rice Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	89%
Heliot Ramos Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	89%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	88%
Michael Harris II Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	88%
Grant Holmes Under 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	84%
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	87%
Atlanta BravesWINNER	99%	75%	100%	90%
Grant Holmes Under 2.5 Strikeouts	—	—	81%	—
Grant Holmes Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	81%	—
Matt Olson Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Austin Riley Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Dominic Smith Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Drake Baldwin Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
George Lombard Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Heliot Ramos Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Michael Harris II Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Ozzie Albies Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Ronald Acuna Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Ryan McMahon Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Spencer Jones Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Grant Holmes Over 5.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	78%
Cam Schlittler Over 6.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	91%	60%
Atlanta Braves spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	71%
Ozzie Albies Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	67%
Ozzie Albies Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	67%
Austin Riley Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	66%
Dominic Smith Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	66%
Ronald Acuna Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	66%
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	66%
Austin Riley Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	66%
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	65%
Drake Baldwin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	65%
Spencer Jones Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	65%
Spencer Jones Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	65%
George Lombard Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	63%
Mike Yastrzemski Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	63%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	62%
Ryan McMahon Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	62%
Grant Holmes Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	81%	43%
Jim Jarvis Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	61%
Mauricio Dubon Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	61%
Atlanta Braves spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	61%
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	59%
Grant Holmes Over 4.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	59%
Matt Olson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	58%
Heliot Ramos Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	51%	—	—	56%
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	52%	—	—	56%
Michael Harris II Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	56%
Matt Olson Over 0.5 Home Runs	99%	—	91%	22%
Heliot Ramos Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	55%
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	55%
Michael Harris II Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	55%
Total under 8.0	—	—	—	54%
Trent Grisham Over 0.5 Home Runs	99%	—	91%	17%
Matt Olson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	53%
Total under 7.0	—	—	—	53%
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	52%
Total over 7.0	—	—	—	52%
Total over 8.0	—	—	—	51%
Trent Grisham Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	10%	91%
Matt Olson Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	10%	88%
George Lombard Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	41%	—	—	49%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	45%	—	—	49%
Jim Jarvis Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	49%
Mike Yastrzemski Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	49%
Ryan McMahon Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	49%
Mauricio Dubon Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	48%
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	49%	—	—	47%
Spencer Jones Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	47%
New York Yankees spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	46%
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	2%	—	—	46%
Austin Riley Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	45%
Dominic Smith Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	45%
Ozzie Albies Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	46%	—	—	45%
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	38%	—	—	45%
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	45%
Drake Baldwin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	50%	—	—	44%
Ozzie Albies Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	43%
Austin Riley Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	40%	—	—	41%
Total over 12.5	1%	—	—	39%
New York Yankees spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	35%
Cam Schlittler Under 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	10%	43%
Total over 5.5	1%	—	0%	23%
Michael Harris II Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	20%	23%
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	20%	22%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	20%	21%
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs	8%	—	20%	21%
Total over 10.5	1%	—	—	20%
Heliot Ramos Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	20%	20%
Total over 11.5	1%	—	—	19%
Total over 8.5	1%	—	0%	19%
Total over 9.5	1%	—	0%	19%
Total over 6.5	1%	—	0%	19%
Drake Baldwin Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	20%	18%
Total over 3.5	1%	—	—	19%
New York Yankees	1%	26%	0%	11%
Atlanta Braves spread minus 2.5	1%	—	0%	18%
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	18%
Spencer Jones Over 0.5 Home Runs	6%	—	—	18%
New York Yankees spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	18%
New York Yankees spread minus 3.5	1%	—	—	18%
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs	7%	—	20%	15%
Total over 4.5	1%	—	0%	17%
Austin Riley Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	16%
Mike Yastrzemski Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	15%
Ozzie Albies Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	15%
Ryan McMahon Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	15%
Atlanta Braves spread minus 1.5	1%	—	0%	13%
George Lombard Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	13%
New York Yankees spread minus 2.5	1%	—	0%	13%
Atlanta wins by over 3.5 runs	1%	—	—	12%
Dominic Smith Over 0.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	12%
New York Yankees spread minus 1.5	1%	—	0%	10%
Cam Schlittler Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	10%	—
Cam Schlittler Under 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	10%	—
Mauricio Dubon Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	9%
Jim Jarvis Over 0.5 Home Runs	4%	—	—	8%
Atlanta Braves spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	7%
Total over 7.5	1%	—	0%	7%
Austin Riley Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	—
Austin Riley Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—
Austin Riley Over 1.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	—
Austin Riley Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	27%	—	—	—
Austin Riley Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	14%	—	—	—
Austin Riley Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	0%	—	—	—
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	—
Austin Wells Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	—
Cam Schlittler Over 10.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	—
Cam Schlittler Over 3.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	—
Cam Schlittler Over 7.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	—
Cam Schlittler Over 8.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	—
Cam Schlittler Over 9.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	—
Dominic Smith Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	0%	—	—	—
Dominic Smith Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—
Drake Baldwin Over 1.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	—
George Lombard Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs	8%	—	—	—
Grant Holmes Over 2.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	—
Grant Holmes Over 3.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	—
Grant Holmes Over 6.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	—
Grant Holmes Over 7.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	—
Grant Holmes Over 8.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	—
Heliot Ramos Over 1.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	—
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	—
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs	10%	—	—	—
Matt Olson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—
Matt Olson Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—
Matt Olson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—
Matt Olson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	23%	—	—	—
Matt Olson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	13%	—	—	—
Michael Harris II Over 1.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	—
Mike Yastrzemski Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—
Over 2.5 runs scored	99%	—	—	—
Ozzie Albies Over 1.5 Home Runs	0%	—	—	—
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	—
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	31%	—	—	—
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	19%	—	—	—
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	0%	—	—	—
Ryan McMahon Over 1.5 Home Runs	0%	—	—	—
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	—
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Home Runs	4%	—	—	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If New York Y wins the Atlanta vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 9, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Atlanta vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 9, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and New York Yankees, scheduled for August 9 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Atlanta Braves vs New York Yankees MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-09 at 1:35PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Atlanta Braves: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 90.3¢ on ProphetX, 74.5¢ on Polymarket US; New York Yankees: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 11.2¢ on ProphetX, 25.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 25.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Atlanta Braves at 88.2¢ implies about a 88.2% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Atlanta Braves Wins: Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET)

Atlanta Braves Wins: Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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Atlanta Braves Wins: Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET)

Atlanta Braves Wins: Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET)

Frequently Asked Questions

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