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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

New York Yankees Wins: Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees (3:05 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-08

This market resolved on 2026-08-08. New York Yankees was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms

Candidate
New York Yankees spread plus 1.5	—	—	100%	100%
New York Yankees spread plus 2.5	—	—	100%	99%
Ali Sanchez Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%
New York Yankees spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	99%
Total over 3.5	99%	—	—	99%
Total under 10.5	—	—	—	96%
New York YankeesWINNER	99%	96%	100%	95%
Total over 4.5	99%	—	—	95%
Chris Sale Over 7.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	91%	98%
Atlanta Braves spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	94%
Jose Caballero Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	94%
New York Yankees spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	92%
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	91%
Spencer Jones Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	91%
Total under 9.5	—	—	—	91%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	0%	91%
Chris Sale Over 5.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	91%	—
Gerrit Cole Over 4.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	91%	—
New York Yankees spread minus 1.5	1%	—	0%	90%
Jim Jarvis Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	81%	99%
Mauricio Dubon Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	98%
Amed Rosario Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	81%	94%
Atlanta Braves spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	86%
Paul Goldschmidt Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	91%
Heliot Ramos Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	89%
Total under 8.5	—	—	0%	84%
Trent Grisham Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	88%
Chris Sale Over 6.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	90%	78%
Ozzie Albies Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	88%
Mike Yastrzemski Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	86%
Austin Riley Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	85%
Michael Harris II Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	82%
Gerrit Cole Over 3.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	81%	—
Atlanta Braves spread plus 2.5	—	—	100%	81%
New York Yankees spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	81%
Drake Baldwin Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	81%
Amed Rosario Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Jim Jarvis Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Austin Riley Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Drake Baldwin Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
George Lombard Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Heliot Ramos Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Matt Olson Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Mauricio Dubon Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Michael Harris II Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Mike Yastrzemski Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Ozzie Albies Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Paul Goldschmidt Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Ronald Acuna Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Matt Olson Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	77%
Gerrit Cole Over 5.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	91%	57%
Total under 11.5	—	—	—	73%
Total over 5.5	99%	—	—	71%
Chris Sale Under 8.5 Strikeouts	—	—	81%	59%
Trent Grisham Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	69%
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	67%
Amed Rosario Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	66%
Amed Rosario Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	5%	—	—	66%
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	64%
Jim Jarvis Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	64%
George Lombard Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	63%
New York Yankees spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	63%
Austin Riley Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	62%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	62%
Mauricio Dubon Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	62%
Ozzie Albies Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	62%
Jose Caballero Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	61%
Mike Yastrzemski Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	61%
Heliot Ramos Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	60%
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	59%
Total under 7.5	—	—	0%	59%
Drake Baldwin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	51%	—	—	58%
Total over 6.5	99%	—	100%	58%
Total under 7.0	—	—	—	58%
Paul Goldschmidt Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	57%
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	57%
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs	99%	—	91%	24%
Matt Olson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	56%
Ali Sanchez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	55%
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	55%
Spencer Jones Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	55%
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	54%
Michael Harris II Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	40%	—	—	54%
Michael Harris II Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	54%
Spencer Jones Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	54%
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Home Runs	99%	—	91%	18%
Drake Baldwin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	54%
Total under 8.0	—	—	—	54%
Ali Sanchez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	53%
Matt Olson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	16%	—	—	53%
Ronald Acuna Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	53%
George Lombard Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	10%	96%
Total over 8.0	—	—	—	53%
Paul Goldschmidt Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	48%	—	—	51%
Heliot Ramos Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	37%	—	—	51%
George Lombard Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs	99%	—	91%	11%
Jose Caballero Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%
Austin Riley Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	41%	—	—	49%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	49%
Mauricio Dubon Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	49%
Mike Yastrzemski Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	49%
Total over 7.0	—	—	—	48%
Ben Rice Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	10%	87%
Total over 7.5	99%	—	100%	48%
George Lombard Jr. Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	48%
Chris Sale Over 8.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	47%
Jim Jarvis Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	47%
Ozzie Albies Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	46%	—	—	46%
Total under 6.5	—	—	0%	45%
Ronald Acuna Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	10%	81%
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	45%
Amed Rosario Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	44%
Chris Sale Under 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	10%	77%
Atlanta Braves spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	43%
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	41%
Amed Rosario Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	40%	—	—	41%
Trent Grisham Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	38%
Total under 5.5	—	—	—	32%
Total over 11.5	1%	—	—	29%
Gerrit Cole Under 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	10%	47%
Atlanta Braves spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	26%
New York Yankees spread minus 2.5	1%	—	0%	25%
Matt Olson Over 0.5 Home Runs	17%	—	20%	26%
Drake Baldwin Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	20%	25%
Michael Harris II Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	20%	21%
Chris Sale Under 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	10%	30%
Paul Goldschmidt Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	20%	20%
Total over 8.5	99%	—	100%	20%
Heliot Ramos Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	20%	19%
Austin Riley Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	20%	19%
Atlanta Braves spread plus 1.5	—	—	100%	19%
Gerrit Cole Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	19%	—
Atlanta Braves spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	18%
New York Yankees spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	18%
Mike Yastrzemski Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	17%
Ozzie Albies Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	17%
Amed Rosario Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	19%	14%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	16%
New York Yankees spread minus 3.5	1%	—	—	16%
Trent Grisham Over 0.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	16%
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	15%
Total over 10.5	1%	—	—	14%
Total under 4.5	—	—	—	14%
Total over 9.5	1%	—	—	13%
Spencer Jones Over 0.5 Home Runs	7%	—	—	12%
Jose Caballero Over 0.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	11%
Total under 3.5	—	—	—	11%
Mauricio Dubon Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	10%
Chris Sale Under 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	10%	—
Gerrit Cole Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	10%	—
Atlanta Braves spread minus 2.5	1%	—	0%	9%
Ali Sanchez Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	9%
Atlanta Braves spread minus 1.5	1%	—	0%	9%
Jim Jarvis Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	9%
Atlanta wins by over 3.5 runs	1%	—	—	8%
Atlanta Braves	1%	4%	0%	8%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	0%	—
Amed Rosario Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—
Austin Riley Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—
Austin Riley Over 1.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	—
Austin Wells Over 1.5 Home Runs	9%	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	—
Chris Sale Over 10.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	—
Chris Sale Over 11.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	—
Chris Sale Over 3.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	—
Chris Sale Over 4.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	—
Chris Sale Over 9.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	—
Drake Baldwin Over 1.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	—
George Lombard Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs	6%	—	—	—
Gerrit Cole Over 2.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	—
Gerrit Cole Over 6.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	—
Gerrit Cole Over 7.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	—
Gerrit Cole Over 8.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	—
Gerrit Cole Over 9.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	—
Heliot Ramos Over 1.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	—
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—
Jim Jarvis Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—
Jose Caballero Over 1.5 Home Runs	9%	—	—	—
Matt Olson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	—
Matt Olson Over 1.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	—
Matt Olson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	7%	—	—	—
Matt Olson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	—
Matt Olson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	2%	—	—	—
Mauricio Dubon Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—
Michael Harris II Over 1.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	—
Mike Yastrzemski Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—
Over 1.5 runs scored	99%	—	—	—
Over 2.5 runs scored	99%	—	—	—
Ozzie Albies Over 1.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	—
Paul Goldschmidt Over 1.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	—
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs	24%	—	—	—
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	21%	—	—	—
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	12%	—	—	—
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If New York Y wins the Atlanta vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 8, 2026 at 3:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Atlanta vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 8, 2026 at 3:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and New York Yankees, scheduled for August 8 at 3:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Atlanta Braves vs New York Yankees MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-08 at 3:05PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees (3:05 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees (3:05 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are New York Yankees: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 94.5¢ on ProphetX, 96.0¢ on Polymarket US; Atlanta Braves: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 8.5¢ on ProphetX, 4.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees (3:05 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 8.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees (3:05 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, New York Yankees at 96.8¢ implies about a 96.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

New York Yankees Wins: Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees (3:05 PM ET)

New York Yankees Wins: Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees (3:05 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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New York Yankees Wins: Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees (3:05 PM ET)

New York Yankees Wins: Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees (3:05 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees (3:05 PM ET)

Frequently Asked Questions

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