About This Market
Chicago Cubs vs.
Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals (7:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-08. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals (7:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-08
This market resolved on 2026-08-08. Kansas City Royals was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Chicago Cubs vs.
Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals (7:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-08. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Clay Holmes Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 100% | — |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 100% |
Kyle Isbel Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 97% |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 97% |
Miguel Amaya Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 97% |
Nico Hoerner Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 97% |
Total under 13.5 | — | — | — | 97% |
Isaac Collins Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 96% |
Josh Rojas Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 95% |
Nick Loftin Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | 95% |
John Rave Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | 94% |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 94% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 94% |
Carson Kelly Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 93% |
Michael Massey Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | 93% |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 92% | 99% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 91% |
Salvador Perez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 90% |
Tyrone Taylor Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 90% |
Carter Jensen Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 86% | 89% |
Total under 14.5 | — | — | — | 89% |
Michael Busch Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 89% | 88% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 88% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 88% |
Dansby Swanson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 49% | 88% |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 88% | 99% |
Seiya Suzuki Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 85% | 86% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 83% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 84% | 80% |
Kansas City Royals spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 63% | 98% |
Kansas City RoyalsWINNER | 99% | 100% | 77% | 99% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | — | 73% |
Alex Bregman Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 53% | 90% |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 70% |
Alex Bregman Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 69% |
Ian Happ Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 49% | 88% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 53% | 84% |
Jac Caglianone Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 49% | 87% |
John Rave Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Seth Lugo Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | 67% |
Kansas City Royals spread minus 2.5 | 99% | — | 50% | 83% |
Kyle Isbel Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Kyle Isbel Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Seiya Suzuki Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | 63% | 99% |
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 31% | — | — | 62% |
Pedro Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
John Rave Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Kansas City Royals spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 62% |
Seth Lugo Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 62% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 60% | 63% |
Miguel Amaya Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 60% |
Clay Holmes Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 100% | 60% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Nick Loftin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Tyrone Taylor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Nico Hoerner Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Michael Busch Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Total over 10.0 | — | — | — | 57% |
Isaac Collins Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Michael Conforto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Salvador Perez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Carson Kelly Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Dansby Swanson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Dansby Swanson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Michael Massey Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Total under 11.0 | — | — | — | 55% |
Carter Jensen Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Michael Massey Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Clay Holmes Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 54% |
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Michael Conforto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 53% |
Ian Happ Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Ian Happ Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 52% |
Seth Lugo Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 52% | — |
Jac Caglianone Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Total over 11.0 | — | — | — | 50% |
Nico Hoerner Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Miguel Amaya Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 17% | — | — | 49% |
Seth Lugo Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 49% | — |
Isaac Collins Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Michael Busch Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Pedro Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Total under 10.0 | — | — | — | 48% |
Seth Lugo Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | 47% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Alex Bregman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Seiya Suzuki Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Josh Rojas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Alex Bregman Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 38% | — | — | 45% |
Nick Loftin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
John Rave Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Kyle Isbel Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 43% |
Josh Rojas Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 42% |
Seiya Suzuki Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 42% |
Seth Lugo Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 42% |
John Rave Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 41% |
Kyle Isbel Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 41% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 41% | 41% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 50% | 27% |
Nico Hoerner Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 36% |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 35% |
Ian Happ Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 52% | 17% |
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 52% | 16% |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | 48% | 19% |
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 48% | 16% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | — | 31% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 37% | 11% |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | 37% | 9% |
Total over 14.5 | — | — | — | 22% |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 21% |
Kansas City wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 21% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 20% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 100% | 20% |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 19% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 16% | 21% |
Seiya Suzuki Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 15% | 20% |
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 14% | 17% |
Dansby Swanson Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 51% | 15% |
Total over 12.5 | 1% | — | — | 15% |
Kansas City Royals spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 15% |
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 15% |
Michael Busch Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 11% | 18% |
Chicago Cubs | 1% | 1% | 23% | 3% |
Total over 13.5 | 1% | — | — | 13% |
Carson Kelly Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 12% |
Chicago C wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 12% |
Isaac Collins Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 12% |
Tyrone Taylor Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 12% |
Michael Massey Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 51% | 11% |
Nick Loftin Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 51% | 11% |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 12% | 10% |
Miguel Amaya Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 11% |
Kyle Isbel Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 11% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 10% |
John Rave Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 51% | 9% |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 8% | 10% |
Nico Hoerner Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Josh Rojas Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Alex Bregman Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Carter Jensen Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Clay Holmes Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Clay Holmes Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Dansby Swanson Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Ian Happ Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Jac Caglianone Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
John Rave Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Michael Busch Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Michael Massey Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Nick Loftin Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Nico Hoerner Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Salvador Perez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Seiya Suzuki Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Alex Bregman Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 10% | — | — | — |
Alex Bregman Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 79% | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 79% | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 13% | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Clay Holmes Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Clay Holmes Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Clay Holmes Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Clay Holmes Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Dansby Swanson Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Ian Happ Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
John Rave Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Michael Busch Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Michael Massey Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Nick Loftin Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Nico Hoerner Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 40% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 34% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 19% | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Seth Lugo Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 80% | — |
Seth Lugo Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Seth Lugo Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Seth Lugo Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Seth Lugo Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 20% | — |
Kansas City Royals
91.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Chicago C wins the Chicago C vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 8, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Chicago C vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 8, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for August 8 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-08 at 7:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Kansas City Royals: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 77.0¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 99.5¢ on Polymarket US; Chicago Cubs: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 22.5¢ on Polymarket, 3.1¢ on ProphetX, 0.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 22.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Kansas City Royals at 91.8¢ implies about a 91.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.