About This Market
Athletics vs.
Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox (1:35 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-09. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox (1:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-09
This market resolved on 2026-08-09. Athletics was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.
Athletics vs.
Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox (1:35 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-09. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Jeff McNeil Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Jonathan Ornelas Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Donovan Walton Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 98% |
Eli White Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 98% |
Caleb Durbin Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 96% |
Carlos Cortes Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 96% |
Athletics spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 95% |
Jake Rogers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 95% |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 100% | 95% |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 94% |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Athletics spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 100% | 91% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | 100% | 91% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | 100% | 91% |
Total under 13.5 | — | — | — | 91% |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 91% |
Athletics spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 100% | 90% |
Athletics spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 90% |
Jacob Wilson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Nick Sogard Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Tommy White Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
AthleticsWINNER | 99% | 82% | 100% | 95% |
Anthony Seigler Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 97% |
Ceddanne Rafaela Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 97% |
Henry Bolte Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 97% |
Andruw Monasterio Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 96% |
Masataka Yoshida Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 96% |
Connor Wong Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 95% |
Lawrence Butler Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 94% |
Tyler Soderstrom Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 94% |
Total under 14.5 | — | — | — | 86% |
Jarren Duran Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 91% |
J.T. Ginn Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 81% | 90% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 100% | 85% |
Jonah Heim Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 89% |
Willson Contreras Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 89% |
Wilyer Abreu Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 86% |
J.T. Ginn Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 81% | — |
J.T. Ginn Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 81% | — |
Jarren Duran Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Andruw Monasterio Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Anthony Seigler Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Ceddanne Rafaela Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Connor Wong Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Henry Bolte Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Jacob Wilson Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Jonah Heim Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Lawrence Butler Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Masataka Yoshida Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Nick Sogard Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Tommy White Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Tyler Soderstrom Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Willson Contreras Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Wilyer Abreu Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 100% | 78% |
Jarren Duran Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 77% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | — | 77% |
Jonathan Ornelas Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | 68% |
Nick Sogard Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Tommy White Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 66% |
Max Muncy Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Athletics spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 65% |
J.T. Ginn Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | 65% |
Willson Contreras Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 60% | — | — | 64% |
Ceddanne Rafaela Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Donovan Walton Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Jake Rogers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Jarren Duran Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 56% | — | — | 62% |
Masataka Yoshida Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Carlos Cortes Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 100% | 61% |
Wilyer Abreu Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Andruw Monasterio Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Eli White Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 59% |
Willson Contreras Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 39% | — | — | 59% |
Jacob Wilson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 38% | — | — | 58% |
Henry Bolte Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Anthony Seigler Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Caleb Durbin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Jeff McNeil Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Jonah Heim Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Lawrence Butler Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Nick Sogard Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Connor Wong Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Henry Bolte Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Lawrence Butler Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 55% |
Nick Sogard Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 56% | — | — | 55% |
Total under 10.0 | — | — | — | 55% |
Tyler Soderstrom Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 55% |
Anthony Seigler Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 54% | — | — | 54% |
Jeff McNeil Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 54% |
Total under 11.0 | — | — | — | 54% |
Tyler Soderstrom Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Connor Wong Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Jacob Wilson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Eli White Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 52% |
Andruw Monasterio Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Total over 11.0 | — | — | — | 51% |
Wilyer Abreu Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 46% | — | — | 50% |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 38% | — | — | 50% |
Jake Rogers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 50% |
Jarren Duran Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Total over 10.0 | — | — | — | 49% |
Caleb Durbin Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Donovan Walton Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Jonah Heim Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 48% |
Caleb Durbin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Carlos Cortes Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | 0% | 48% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 47% |
Masataka Yoshida Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Willson Contreras Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 45% | — | — | 47% |
Max Muncy Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Masataka Yoshida Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Willson Contreras Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Nick Sogard Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 43% | — | — | 45% |
Jarren Duran Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 32% | — | — | 44% |
Jonathan Ornelas Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Tommy White Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 41% |
Boston Red Sox spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 40% |
Athletics spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 39% |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | — | — | 27% |
Athletics spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 0% | 27% |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | 0% | 26% |
Total over 14.5 | 1% | — | — | 25% |
Wilyer Abreu Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 22% |
Boston Red Sox spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 0% | 20% |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | 0% | 20% |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | 0% | 20% |
Total over 13.5 | 1% | — | — | 20% |
Willson Contreras Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 19% |
Jarren Duran Over 0.5 Home Runs | 42% | — | 19% | 17% |
Total over 12.5 | 1% | — | — | 17% |
Tyler Soderstrom Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 16% |
Boston Red Sox | 1% | 18% | 0% | 12% |
Lawrence Butler Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 15% |
Jake Rogers Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | 15% |
A's wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 14% |
Jonah Heim Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 14% |
Boston Red Sox spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 13% |
Andruw Monasterio Over 0.5 Home Runs | 8% | — | — | 13% |
Anthony Seigler Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | — | 13% |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 13% |
Max Muncy Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 13% |
Eli White Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | 12% |
Boston Red Sox spread minus 2.5 | 2% | — | 0% | 12% |
Connor Wong Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 12% |
Henry Bolte Over 0.5 Home Runs | 7% | — | — | 11% |
Jonathan Ornelas Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | — | 11% |
Masataka Yoshida Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 11% |
Caleb Durbin Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 11% |
Carlos Cortes Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 11% |
Athletics spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 10% |
Athletics spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 0% | 9% |
Boston wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 9% |
Jacob Wilson Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 9% |
Jeff McNeil Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 9% |
Nick Sogard Over 0.5 Home Runs | 16% | — | — | 9% |
Tommy White Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 9% |
Donovan Walton Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Andruw Monasterio Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Anthony Seigler Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Connor Wong Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Eli White Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Henry Bolte Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Henry Bolte Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Henry Bolte Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Henry Bolte Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 8% | — | — | — |
J.T. Ginn Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
J.T. Ginn Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
J.T. Ginn Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
J.T. Ginn Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
J.T. Ginn Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
J.T. Ginn Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Jacob Wilson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jacob Wilson Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Jacob Wilson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 30% | — | — | — |
Jacob Wilson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 16% | — | — | — |
Jacob Wilson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jake Rogers Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Jarren Duran Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — |
Jeff McNeil Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Jonah Heim Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Ornelas Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Lawrence Butler Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Masataka Yoshida Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Max Muncy (ATH) Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | — | — |
Max Muncy (ATH) Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Nick Sogard Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 5.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Tommy White Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Tyler Soderstrom Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — |
Willson Contreras Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — |
Wilyer Abreu Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 15% | — | — | — |
Wilyer Abreu Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — |
Athletics
92.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf A's wins the A's vs Boston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 9, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the A's vs Boston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 9, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for August 9 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Athletics vs Boston Red Sox MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-09 at 1:35PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Athletics: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 95.2¢ on ProphetX, 82.0¢ on Polymarket US; Boston Red Sox: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 12.4¢ on ProphetX, 18.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 17.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Athletics at 92.4¢ implies about a 92.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.