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Live prediction market odds for Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies (6:05 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Toronto Blue Jays Wins: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies (6:05 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-08

This market resolved on 2026-08-08. Toronto Blue Jays was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 95%.

About This Market

Toronto Blue Jays vs.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies (6:05 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-08. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 3.5
———99%
Garrett Stubbs Under 0.5 Home Runs
———98%
Andres Gimenez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%97%
Ernie Clement Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%97%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 4.5
———97%
Total under 14.5
———97%
Total under 13.5
———96%
Myles Straw Under 0.5 Home Runs
———96%
Justin Crawford Under 0.5 Home Runs
———95%
Luis Arraez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%95%
Toronto Blue JaysWINNER
99%95%67%96%
Alec Bohm Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%94%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 3.5
———93%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 2.5
——93%92%
Nathan Lukes Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%92%
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 4.5
———92%
Bryson Stott Under 0.5 Home Runs
——50%90%
Max Scherzer Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%——90%
J.T. Realmuto Under 0.5 Home Runs
———89%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
——50%89%
Alejandro Kirk Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%87%
Trea Turner Under 0.5 Home Runs
——84%87%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.5
——87%100%
Jesus Sanchez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%86%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%86%
Brandon Marsh Under 0.5 Home Runs
——50%86%
George Springer Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%86%
Total under 8.5
———84%
Total over 5.5
99%——84%
Max Scherzer Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——0%80%
Total under 12.5
———78%
Total under 11.5
——95%60%
Total under 7.5
———73%
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 2.5
——73%99%
Garrett Stubbs Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———72%
Total under 10.5
——92%49%
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 1.0
———70%
Max Scherzer Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——0%68%
Trea Turner Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Total under 11.0
———66%
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——65%
Nathan Lukes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Myles Straw Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——63%
Bryce Harper Under 0.5 Home Runs
——48%78%
Total under 9.5
——92%33%
Luis Arraez Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Bryson Stott Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
2%——61%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.5
99%—49%73%
Luis Arraez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Alec Bohm Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Andres Gimenez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Bryce Harper Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Kyle Schwarber Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Bryan De La Cruz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——58%
Kyle Schwarber Under 0.5 Home Runs
——47%70%
Brandon Marsh Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Total under 10.0
———58%
George Springer Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Jesus Sanchez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Jesus Sanchez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Justin Crawford Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Justin Crawford Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 1.0
———55%
J.T. Realmuto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
J.T. Realmuto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Total over 9.0
———53%
Andres Gimenez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Nathan Lukes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Total over 6.5
99%——52%
Aaron Nola Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——50%53%
Max Scherzer Over 1.5 Strikeouts
99%—52%—
Max Scherzer Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—52%—
George Springer Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Total under 6.5
———51%
Total under 9.0
———51%
Bryan De La Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Bryce Harper Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——50%
Myles Straw Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Aaron Nola Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—50%49%
Alec Bohm Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Max Scherzer Under 1.5 Strikeouts
——49%—
Max Scherzer Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——49%—
Brandon Marsh Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.0
———47%
Trea Turner Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Bryson Stott Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—54%38%
Garrett Stubbs Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Kyle Schwarber Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
45%——44%
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 1.5
——51%37%
Kyle Schwarber Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Luis Arraez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Luis Arraez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Total over 10.0
———44%
Trea Turner Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——41%
Total over 9.5
99%—9%72%
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—52%26%
Max Scherzer Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%——37%
Total over 10.5
99%—8%64%
Total over 11.0
———36%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.0
———32%
Total over 7.5
99%——31%
Total over 8.5
99%——28%
Total over 12.5
1%——26%
Total over 11.5
99%—6%44%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Home Runs
———22%
Total under 5.5
———20%
Jesus Sanchez Over 0.5 Home Runs
———20%
George Springer Over 0.5 Home Runs
———19%
J.T. Realmuto Over 0.5 Home Runs
———19%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 2.5
3%—28%10%
Brandon Marsh Over 0.5 Home Runs
——51%18%
Bryan De La Cruz Over 0.5 Home Runs
———18%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 4.5
———18%
Trea Turner Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—16%18%
Bryson Stott Over 0.5 Home Runs
——51%17%
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 3.5
1%——16%
Alejandro Kirk Over 0.5 Home Runs
———16%
Alec Bohm Over 0.5 Home Runs
———14%
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 2.5
1%—7%19%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—51%13%
Total over 13.5
1%——13%
Total over 14.5
1%——12%
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 1.5
1%—14%9%
Andres Gimenez Over 0.5 Home Runs
———11%
Ernie Clement Over 0.5 Home Runs
———11%
Nathan Lukes Over 0.5 Home Runs
———11%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 3.5
1%——10%
Garrett Stubbs Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Myles Straw Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Luis Arraez Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Justin Crawford Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 4.5
———7%
Philadelphia Phillies
1%6%33%7%
Alec Bohm Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Andres Gimenez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Brandon Marsh Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Bryce Harper Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Bryson Stott Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
George Springer Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Jesus Sanchez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Kyle Schwarber Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Luis Arraez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Nathan Lukes Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Trea Turner Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Aaron Nola Over 1.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Aaron Nola Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—51%—
Aaron Nola Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—51%—
Aaron Nola Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Aaron Nola Over 6.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Aaron Nola Over 7.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Aaron Nola Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——50%—
Aaron Nola Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——49%—
Alec Bohm Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Andres Gimenez Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Brandon Marsh Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Bryce Harper Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
39%———
Bryce Harper Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
18%———
Bryson Stott Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
George Springer Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Jesus Sanchez Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Kyle Schwarber Over 2.5 Home Runs
1%———
Kyle Schwarber Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
27%———
Kyle Schwarber Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
17%———
Luis Arraez Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Max Scherzer Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Max Scherzer Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Max Scherzer Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Nathan Lukes Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Over 4.5 runs scored
99%———
Trea Turner Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Home Runs
4%———
Trea Turner Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Trea Turner Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread32.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Toronto Blue Jays

85.9% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies (6:05 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Toronto wins the Toronto vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 8, 2026 at 6:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Toronto vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 8, 2026 at 6:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for August 8 at 6:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-08 at 6:05PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies (6:05 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies (6:05 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Toronto Blue Jays: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 67.0¢ on Polymarket, 96.1¢ on ProphetX, 94.5¢ on Polymarket US; Philadelphia Phillies: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 33.0¢ on Polymarket, 6.6¢ on ProphetX, 5.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies (6:05 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 32.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies (6:05 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Toronto Blue Jays at 85.9¢ implies about a 85.9% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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