About This Market
Washington Nationals vs.
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins (7:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-21. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins (7:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-21
This market resolved on 2026-08-21. Miami Marlins was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.
Washington Nationals vs.
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins (7:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-21. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Abimelec Ortiz Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Jorbit Vivas Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Xavier Edwards Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Brad Lord Over 0.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Andres Chaparro Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Brady House Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Dylan Crews Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Jacob Young Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Nasim Nunez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Ryan Gusto Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Ryan Gusto Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 99% | — |
Heriberto Hernandez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Jakob Marsee Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Javier Sanoja Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Joe Mack Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Leo Jimenez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Owen Caissie Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Esteury Ruiz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 98% |
Harry Ford Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 98% |
Griffin Conine Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Griffin Conine Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Jose Tena Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 97% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 96% | 96% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 95% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 93% | 92% |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Abimelec Ortiz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 85% | 99% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 91% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 91% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 90% | 92% |
Griffin Conine Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 83% | 99% |
Washington Nationals spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 90% |
Agustin Ramirez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 89% |
Total under 3.5 | — | — | — | 88% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 83% | 92% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 88% |
Daylen Lile Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 87% | 99% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 86% |
Ryan Gusto Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 75% | 94% |
Leo Jimenez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 84% |
Washington Nationals spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 84% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 76% | 92% |
Miami MarlinsWINNER | 99% | 73% | 100% | 94% |
Washington Nationals spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 74% | 92% |
Jacob Young Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 81% |
Agustin Ramirez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Brad Lord Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 80% | — |
Dylan Crews Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Xavier Edwards Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Brad Lord Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 68% | 90% |
Nasim Nunez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 78% |
Washington Nationals spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 75% | 81% |
Dylan Crews Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 77% |
Brady House Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 75% |
Andres Chaparro Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 74% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 72% |
Owen Caissie Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 71% |
Agustin Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Joe Mack Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Xavier Edwards Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Esteury Ruiz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Harry Ford Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Brad Lord Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 68% | 62% |
Jacob Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Jose Tena Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Ryan Gusto Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 70% | 58% |
Jorbit Vivas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Esteury Ruiz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Griffin Conine Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Nasim Nunez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Andres Chaparro Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Ryan Gusto Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 70% | 52% |
Ryan Gusto Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 75% | 47% |
Dylan Crews Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Keibert Ruiz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Brady House Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Jakob Marsee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Javier Sanoja Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Abimelec Ortiz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Owen Caissie Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Owen Caissie Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Brady House Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Ryan Gusto Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 53% | — | — | — |
Washington Nationals spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 52% |
Jakob Marsee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Keibert Ruiz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Joe Mack Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Abimelec Ortiz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Andres Chaparro Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Griffin Conine Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Heriberto Hernandez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 50% |
Nasim Nunez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Dylan Crews Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Javier Sanoja Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Washington Nationals spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 47% |
Washington Nationals spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 83% | 11% |
Daylen Lile Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Owen Caissie Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Daylen Lile Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 87% | 6% |
Andres Chaparro Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Esteury Ruiz Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Jacob Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Abimelec Ortiz Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 85% | 5% |
Griffin Conine Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 83% | 7% |
Harry Ford Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Jose Tena Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Agustin Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Brady House Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Joe Mack Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Xavier Edwards Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Washington Nationals spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 70% | 16% |
Esteury Ruiz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Jorbit Vivas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Brad Lord Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | 80% | — |
Miami Marlins spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 41% |
Leo Jimenez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 40% |
Jacob Young Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 36% |
Nasim Nunez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 36% |
Dylan Crews Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 35% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 33% |
Brad Lord Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 32% | — | — | — |
Washington Nationals | 1% | 27% | 41% | 8% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 25% | 23% |
Keibert Ruiz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 23% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 22% |
Agustin Ramirez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Dylan Crews Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Total over 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 20% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 27% | 12% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 18% |
Washington Nationals spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 18% |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 16% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 16% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 15% |
Total over 12.5 | 1% | — | — | 15% |
Heriberto Hernandez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 9% |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | — | 12% | 15% |
Total over 5.5 | 1% | — | — | 13% |
Agustin Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 5% |
Washington Nationals spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 13% |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 12% |
Total over 6.5 | 1% | — | — | 12% |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | 7% | 15% |
Jose Tena Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 10% |
Harry Ford Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 10% |
Esteury Ruiz Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Keibert Ruiz Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Owen Caissie Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Leo Jimenez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Andres Chaparro Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Joe Mack Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | 4% | 9% |
Javier Sanoja Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Jacob Young Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Nasim Nunez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Otto Lopez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 6% |
Jakob Marsee Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 5% |
Dylan Crews Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 5% |
Jorbit Vivas Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 5% |
Brady House Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 4% |
Xavier Edwards Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 4% |
Brad Lord Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Brad Lord Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Ryan Gusto Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | 1% | — |
Ryan Gusto Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Ryan Gusto Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Ryan Gusto Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Brad Lord Over 9.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Daylen Lile Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Jakob Marsee Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Ryan Gusto Over 14.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Abimelec Ortiz Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Brad Lord Under 0.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Jorbit Vivas Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Brad Lord Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Brad Lord Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Brad Lord Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Ryan Gusto Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Ryan Gusto Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Ryan Gusto Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Heriberto Hernandez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | — |
Jakob Marsee Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jorbit Vivas Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Otto Lopez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Xavier Edwards Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Miami Marlins
91.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Washington wins the Washington vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Washington vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Miami Marlins, scheduled for August 21 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-21 at 7:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Miami Marlins: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 94.0¢ on ProphetX, 73.0¢ on Polymarket US; Washington Nationals: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 41.0¢ on Polymarket, 7.8¢ on ProphetX, 27.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 40.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Miami Marlins at 91.5¢ implies about a 91.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.