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Live prediction market odds for Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Browse historical results
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Alexia Thainara Wins: Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara

Resolved 2026-08-08

This market resolved on 2026-08-08. Alexia Thainara was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

Amanda Lemos vs.

Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara — UFC fight held on 2026-08-08. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Fight to Go the Distance: Yes
——100%—
Over 0.5 Rounds
——100%—
Over 1.5 Rounds
——100%—
Over 2.5 Rounds
——100%—
Fight won by submission: No
——100%—
Lemos to win by KO/TKO: No
——100%—
Thainara to win by KO/TKO: No
——100%—
Fight won by KO/TKO: No
——95%—
Alexia ThainaraWINNER
99%99%100%72%
Amanda Lemos
1%1%0%29%
Fight to Go the Distance: No
——0%—
Fight won by submission: Yes
——0%—
Lemos to win by KO/TKO: Yes
——0%—
Thainara to win by KO/TKO: Yes
——0%—
Under 0.5 Rounds
——0%—
Under 1.5 Rounds
——0%—
Under 2.5 Rounds
——0%—
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes
————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread28.5%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Alexia Thainara

90.4% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Alexia Thainara wins the Lemos vs Thainara professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Lemos vs Thainara professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 8, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Amanda Lemos" if Amanda Lemos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Alexia Thainara at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2026. It will resolve to "Alexia Thainara" if Alexia Thainara is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 22, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

Who will win the upcoming ufc event, scheduled for August 8 at 5:00PM ET, Amanda Lemos or Alexia Thainara? In the case of a tie or draw, the instrument will settle at $0.50 per instrument. If the event is postponed, delayed, or rescheduled, the settlement date will be amended to the rescheduled date. If the rescheduled date is not within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the instrument will settle at last-traded prices. If the event is rescheduled to an earlier date than originally scheduled, the settlement date will be the rescheduled date. If the event is canceled, the instrument will settle at last-traded prices. If the event concludes early, or is shortened or truncated, the outcome shall be the declared official result. If a participant retires after the event has commenced, the outcome shall be the declared official result. In the case of a withdrawal, walkover, forfeit, no-contest, or the removal of a participant before the event commences, the instrument will settle at last-traded prices.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara odds?

The last available prices are Alexia Thainara: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 72.2¢ on ProphetX, 99.0¢ on Polymarket US; Amanda Lemos: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 28.6¢ on ProphetX, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 28.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara prediction market payouts work?

For example, Alexia Thainara at 90.4¢ implies about a 90.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

No price history available