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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

Bilal Hasan Wins: Bilal Hasan vs. Mridul Saikia

Resolved 2026-08-11

This market resolved on 2026-08-11. Bilal Hasan was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 96%.

About This Market

Bilal Hasan vs.

Bilal Hasan vs. Mridul Saikia — UFC fight held on 2026-08-11. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market Prices Compare Fees Before You Trade New to Polymarket?

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms

Candidate
Fight to Go the Distance: No	—	—	99%	—
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes	—	—	99%	—
Fight won by submission: Yes	—	—	99%	—
Saikia to win by KO/TKO: No	—	—	99%	—
Under 2.5 Rounds	—	—	99%	—
Bilal HasanWINNER	99%	91%	96%	95%
Fight won by submission: No	—	—	94%	—
Hasan to win by KO/TKO: Yes	—	—	84%	—
Under 1.5 Rounds	—	—	81%	—
Fight won by KO/TKO: No	—	—	80%	—
Over 2.5 Rounds	—	—	80%	—
Fight to Go the Distance: Yes	—	—	50%	—
Saikia to win by KO/TKO: Yes	—	—	50%	—
Over 1.5 Rounds	—	—	19%	—
Hasan to win by KO/TKO: No	—	—	16%	—
Mridul Saikia	1%	9%	4%	6%
Over 0.5 Rounds	—	—	99%	—
Under 0.5 Rounds	—	—	99%	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Bilal Hasan wins the Hasan vs Saikia professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Hasan vs Saikia professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 11, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Polymarket

Primary Rule

Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Bilal Hasan and Mridul Saikia at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 1, scheduled for August 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. "Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond August 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic Oracle

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Bilal Hasan vs Mridul Saikia UFC fight scheduled for August 11, 2026. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two days of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Bilal Hasan vs. Mridul Saikia prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Bilal Hasan vs. Mridul Saikia odds?

The last available prices are Bilal Hasan: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 95.9¢ on Polymarket, 95.3¢ on ProphetX, 91.0¢ on Polymarket US; Mridul Saikia: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 4.1¢ on Polymarket, 6.4¢ on ProphetX, 9.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Bilal Hasan vs. Mridul Saikia odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 8.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Bilal Hasan vs. Mridul Saikia prediction market payouts work?

For example, Bilal Hasan at 95.3¢ implies about a 95.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Bilal Hasan Wins: Bilal Hasan vs. Mridul Saikia

About This Market

Price History

Bilal Hasan Wins: Bilal Hasan vs. Mridul Saikia

About This Market

Price History

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Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

Bilal Hasan Wins: Bilal Hasan vs. Mridul Saikia

About This Market

Price History

Bilal Hasan Wins: Bilal Hasan vs. Mridul Saikia

About This Market

Price History

Related Markets

Anaheim Ducks vs. Vegas Golden Knights

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Texas Southern Tigers

Northern Colorado Bears vs. Eastern Washington Eagles

Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Texas A&M Aggies

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Related Markets

Anaheim Ducks vs. Vegas Golden Knights

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Texas Southern Tigers

Northern Colorado Bears vs. Eastern Washington Eagles

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Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Bilal Hasan vs. Mridul Saikia

Frequently Asked Questions