Live prediction market odds for Brandon Holmes vs. Modestino Rodrigues. Compare prices across Polymarket.
Resolved 2026-09-01
This market resolved on 2026-09-01. Modestino Rodrigues was the officially declared outcome.
Brandon Holmes vs.
Brandon Holmes vs. Modestino Rodrigues — UFC fight held on 2026-09-01. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |
|---|---|
Fight to Go the Distance: No | 99% |
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes | 99% |
Fight won by submission: Yes | 99% |
Holmes to win by KO/TKO: Yes | 99% |
Rodrigues to win by KO/TKO: Yes | 99% |
Fight won by submission: No | 95% |
Under 1.5 Rounds | 81% |
Rodrigues to win by KO/TKO: No | 76% |
Holmes to win by KO/TKO: No | 63% |
Fight won by KO/TKO: No | 29% |
Over 1.5 Rounds | 25% |
Fight to Go the Distance: Yes | 18% |
Brandon Holmes | — |
Modestino RodriguesWINNER | — |
Over 0.5 Rounds | 99% |
Over 2.5 Rounds | 99% |
Under 0.5 Rounds | 99% |
Under 2.5 Rounds | 99% |
Brandon Holmes
0.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Modestino Rodrigues wins the Holmes vs Rodrigues professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Holmes vs Rodrigues professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 2, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Brandon Holmes defeats Modestino Rodrigues at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 4, scheduled for September 1, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Brandon Holmes vs Modestino Rodrigues UFC fight scheduled for September 1, 2026. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two days of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.
For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.
