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Live prediction market odds for Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Browse historical results
Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Diyar Nurgozhay Wins: Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay

Resolved 2026-08-08

This market resolved on 2026-08-08. Diyar Nurgozhay was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 82%.

About This Market

Bruno Lopes vs.

Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay — UFC fight held on 2026-08-08. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes
——100%—
Nurgozhay to win by KO/TKO: Yes
——100%—
Over 0.5 Rounds
——100%—
Fight to Go the Distance: No
——100%—
Lopes to win by KO/TKO: No
——100%—
Under 2.5 Rounds
——100%—
Fight won by submission: No
——99%—
Under 1.5 Rounds
——99%—
Diyar NurgozhayWINNER
99%61%100%65%
Bruno Lopes
1%39%0%39%
Fight won by submission: Yes
——1%—
Over 1.5 Rounds
——1%—
Fight to Go the Distance: Yes
——0%—
Fight won by KO/TKO: No
——0%—
Lopes to win by KO/TKO: Yes
——0%—
Nurgozhay to win by KO/TKO: No
——0%—
Under 0.5 Rounds
——0%—
Bruno Lopes by Decision
100%———
Bruno Lopes by KO/TKO/DQ
100%———
Bruno Lopes by Submission
100%———
Bruno Lopes to win in Round 1
100%———
Bruno Lopes to win in Round 2
100%———
Bruno Lopes to win in Round 3
100%———
Decision / Draw / No Contest
100%———
Diyar Nurgozhay by Decision
100%———
Diyar Nurgozhay by KO/TKO/DQ
100%———
Diyar Nurgozhay by Submission
100%———
Diyar Nurgozhay to win in Round 1
100%———
Diyar Nurgozhay to win in Round 2
100%———
Diyar Nurgozhay to win in Round 3
100%———
Draw/No Contest
100%———
Over 2.5 Rounds
————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread39.1%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Diyar Nurgozhay

75.4% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Diyar Nurgozhay wins the Nurgozhay vs Lopes professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Nurgozhay vs Lopes professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 8, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Bruno Lopes and Diyar Nurgozhay at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. "Under 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond August 22, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

Who will win the upcoming ufc event, scheduled for August 8 at 5:00PM ET, Diyar Nurgozhay or Bruno Lopes? In the case of a tie or draw, the instrument will settle at $0.50 per instrument. If the event is postponed, delayed, or rescheduled, the settlement date will be amended to the rescheduled date. If the rescheduled date is not within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the instrument will settle at last-traded prices. If the event is rescheduled to an earlier date than originally scheduled, the settlement date will be the rescheduled date. If the event is canceled, the instrument will settle at last-traded prices. If the event concludes early, or is shortened or truncated, the outcome shall be the declared official result. If a participant retires after the event has commenced, the outcome shall be the declared official result. In the case of a withdrawal, walkover, forfeit, no-contest, or the removal of a participant before the event commences, the instrument will settle at last-traded prices.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay odds?

The last available prices are Diyar Nurgozhay: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 65.3¢ on ProphetX, 61.0¢ on Polymarket US; Bruno Lopes: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 39.2¢ on ProphetX, 39.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 39.1 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay prediction market payouts work?

For example, Diyar Nurgozhay at 75.4¢ implies about a 75.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

No price history available