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Live prediction market odds for Charles Johnson vs. Jose Ochoa. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Browse historical results
Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket

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Charles Johnson vs. Jose Ochoa

2026-08-16

Best price · tap to trade

Jose Ochoa77¢1.30xKalshiCharles Johnson23¢4.35xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Jose Ochoa about a 64.0% chance. Charles Johnson follows at 36.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 26.0 percentage points.

Traders give Jose Ochoa about a 64.0% chance. Charles Johnson follows at 36.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 26.0 percentage points.

Charles Johnson vs. Jose Ochoa — UFC fight scheduled for 2026-08-16. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
JO
Jose OchoaARB
63%
Kalshi77¢
Polymarket51¢
Kalshi1.30x77¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
76.0%75¢77¢23¢25¢
PolymarketPolymarket
50.0%49¢51¢49¢51¢
CJ
Charles JohnsonARB
35%
Kalshi23¢
Polymarket49¢
Kalshi4.35x23¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
22.0%21¢23¢77¢79¢
PolymarketPolymarket
48.0%47¢49¢51¢53¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Method of Victory

Fight won by KO/TKO?
YESPolymarket51¢
NOPolymarket51¢
Fight won by submission?
YESPolymarket51¢
NOPolymarket51¢
Johnson to win by KO/TKO?
YESPolymarket51¢
NOPolymarket51¢
Ochoa to win by KO/TKO?
YESPolymarket50¢
NOPolymarket51¢

Total Rounds

Best price
Over 0.5 Rounds
Polymarket51¢
Polymarket1.96x51¢
Under 0.5 Rounds
Polymarket51¢
Polymarket1.96x51¢

Goes the Distance

Fight to Go the Distance?
YESPolymarket51¢
NOPolymarket51¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread26.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Jose Ochoa

64.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Charles Johnson vs. Jose Ochoa

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Charles Johnson wins the Johnson vs Ochoa professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Johnson vs Ochoa professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Charles Johnson and Jose Ochoa at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Charles Johnson vs. Jose Ochoa prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Charles Johnson vs. Jose Ochoa odds?

The latest available prices are Jose Ochoa: 77.0¢ on Kalshi, 51.0¢ on Polymarket; Charles Johnson: 23.0¢ on Kalshi, 49.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Charles Johnson vs. Jose Ochoa odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 26.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Charles Johnson vs. Jose Ochoa prediction market payouts work?

For example, Jose Ochoa at 64.0¢ implies about a 64.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

No price history available