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Live prediction market odds for Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Browse historical results
Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez

2026-08-15

Best price · tap to trade

Joel Álvarez1¢100.00xKalshiChidi Njokuani19¢5.26xPolymarket US
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Resolved Sep 29

Final odds

About This Market

Traders give Joel Álvarez about a 58.0% chance. Chidi Njokuani follows at 42.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 80.0 percentage points.

Traders give Joel Álvarez about a 58.0% chance. Chidi Njokuani follows at 42.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 80.0 percentage points.

Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez — UFC fight scheduled for 2026-08-15. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

4 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Best price
JÁ
Joel ÁlvarezARB
57%
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket US81¢
Polymarket73¢
ProphetX77¢
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
80.0%79¢81¢19¢21¢
PolymarketPolymarket
72.0%71¢73¢27¢29¢
ProphetXProphetX
76.0%75¢77¢23¢25¢
CN
Chidi NjokuaniARB
42%
Kalshi99¢
Polymarket US19¢
Polymarket27¢
ProphetX25¢
Polymarket US5.26x19¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
98.0%97¢99¢1¢3¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
18.0%17¢19¢81¢83¢
PolymarketPolymarket
26.0%25¢27¢73¢75¢
ProphetXProphetX
24.0%23¢25¢75¢77¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarketProphetXProphetX

Method of Victory

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
CN
Chidi Njokuani by Decision
single venue98%
Kalshi99¢
—
Kalshi1.01x99¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
98.0%97¢99¢1¢3¢
JA
Joel Alvarez by Decision
single venue1%
Kalshi1¢
—
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
JA
Joel Alvarez by KO/TKO/DQ
single venue1%
Kalshi1¢
—
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
JA
Joel Alvarez by Submission
single venue1%
Kalshi1¢
—
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
CN
Chidi Njokuani by KO/TKO/DQ
single venue1%
Kalshi1¢
—
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
CN
Chidi Njokuani by Submission
single venue1%
Kalshi1¢
—
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
DC
Draw/No Contest
single venue1%
Kalshi1¢
—
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
NT
Njokuani to win by KO/TKO: No
single venue84%
—
Polymarket85¢
Polymarket1.18x85¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
84.0%83¢85¢15¢17¢
ÁT
Álvarez to win by KO/TKO: No
single venue72%
—
Polymarket73¢
Polymarket1.37x73¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
72.0%71¢73¢27¢29¢
FW
Fight won by KO/TKO: No
single venue66%
—
Polymarket66¢
Polymarket1.52x66¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
66.0%55¢66¢34¢45¢
FW
Fight won by submission: No
single venue59%
—
Polymarket60¢
Polymarket1.67x60¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
59.0%58¢60¢40¢42¢
FW
Fight won by submission: Yes
single venue39%
—
Polymarket40¢
Polymarket2.50x40¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
39.0%38¢40¢60¢62¢
FW
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue45%
—
Polymarket45¢
Polymarket2.22x45¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
45.0%34¢45¢55¢66¢
ÁT
Álvarez to win by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue26%
—
Polymarket27¢
Polymarket3.70x27¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
26.0%25¢27¢73¢75¢
NT
Njokuani to win by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue14%
—
Polymarket15¢
Polymarket6.67x15¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
14.0%13¢15¢85¢87¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Round of Victory

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Best price
D/
Decision / Draw / No Contest
single venue98%
Kalshi99¢
Kalshi1.01x99¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
98.0%97¢99¢1¢3¢
CN
Chidi Njokuani to win in Round 3
single venue1%
Kalshi1¢
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
JA
Joel Alvarez to win in Round 3
single venue1%
Kalshi1¢
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
JA
Joel Alvarez to win in Round 2
single venue1%
Kalshi1¢
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
JA
Joel Alvarez to win in Round 1
single venue1%
Kalshi1¢
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
CN
Chidi Njokuani to win in Round 1
single venue1%
Kalshi1¢
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
CN
Chidi Njokuani to win in Round 2
single venue1%
Kalshi1¢
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
KalshiKalshi

Total Rounds

Best price
Over 1.5 Rounds
Polymarket54¢
Polymarket1.85x54¢
Under 1.5 Rounds
Polymarket46¢
Polymarket2.17x46¢

Goes the Distance

Fight to Go the Distance?
YESPolymarket32¢
NOPolymarket68¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread80.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Leader

Joel Álvarez

58.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Joel Alvarez wins the Njokuani vs Alvarez professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Njokuani vs Alvarez professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Chidi Njokuani and Joel Álvarez at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Chidi Njokuani vs Joel Alvarez UFC fight scheduled for August 15 at 5:30PM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez odds?

The latest available prices are Joel Álvarez: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 73.0¢ on Polymarket, 77.1¢ on ProphetX, 81.0¢ on Polymarket US; Chidi Njokuani: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 27.0¢ on Polymarket, 25.4¢ on ProphetX, 19.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 80.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez prediction market payouts work?

For example, Joel Álvarez at 58.0¢ implies about a 58.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

No price history available