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Live prediction market odds for Ding Meng vs. Cameron Nelson. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Browse historical results
Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Ding Meng vs. Cameron Nelson

2026-08-29

Best price · tap to trade

Ding Meng1¢100.00xPolymarket USCameron Nelson47¢2.13xProphetX
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

About This Market

Traders give Ding Meng about a 20.1% chance. Cameron Nelson follows at 82.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 59.1 percentage points.

Traders give Ding Meng about a 20.1% chance. Cameron Nelson follows at 82.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 59.1 percentage points.

Ding Meng vs. Cameron Nelson — UFC fight scheduled for 2026-08-29. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

4 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Best price
CN
Cameron NelsonARB
47%
Kalshi100¢
—
—
ProphetX47¢
ProphetX2.13x47¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
99.0%0¢100¢0¢100¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
—99¢——1¢
PolymarketPolymarket
—100¢——0¢
ProphetXProphetX
47.0%47¢47¢59¢59¢
DM
Ding MengARB
59%
Kalshi100¢
Polymarket US1¢
—
ProphetX59¢
Polymarket US100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%0¢100¢0¢100¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
—0¢1¢99¢100¢
ProphetXProphetX
59.2%59¢59¢47¢47¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarketProphetXProphetX

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Method of Victory

Fight won by submission?
YESPolymarket1¢
NOPolymarket99¢
Meng to win by KO/TKO?
YESPolymarket0¢
NOPolymarket100¢
Nelson to win by KO/TKO?
YES-
NOPolymarket99¢
Fight won by KO/TKO?
YES-
NOPolymarket99¢

Total Rounds

Best price
Over 0.5 Rounds
Polymarket100¢
Under 0.5 Rounds
Polymarket0¢
Polymarket1000.00x0¢

Goes the Distance

Fight to Go the Distance?
YESPolymarket100¢
NOPolymarket0¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread59.1%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Leader

Ding Meng

20.1% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Ding Meng vs. Cameron Nelson

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Ding Meng wins the Meng vs Nelson professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Meng vs Nelson professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ding Meng defeats Cameron Nelson at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Ding Meng vs Cameron Nelson UFC fight scheduled for August 29 at 3:00AM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Ding Meng vs. Cameron Nelson prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Ding Meng vs. Cameron Nelson odds?

The latest available prices are Ding Meng: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 59.2¢ on ProphetX, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US; Cameron Nelson: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 47.0¢ on ProphetX, 99.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Ding Meng vs. Cameron Nelson odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 59.1 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Ding Meng vs. Cameron Nelson prediction market payouts work?

For example, Ding Meng at 20.1¢ implies about a 20.1% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

No price history available