About This Market
Ednilson Santos vs.
Ednilson Santos vs. Akbar Abdullaev: UFC fight held on 2026-09-15. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Ednilson Santos vs. Akbar Abdullaev. Compare prices across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Resolved 2026-09-15
This market resolved on 2026-09-15. Akbar Abdullaev was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 96%.
Ednilson Santos vs.
Ednilson Santos vs. Akbar Abdullaev: UFC fight held on 2026-09-15. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Santos to win by KO/TKO: No | — | — | 99% | — |
Fight won by submission: No | — | — | 96% | — |
Akbar AbdullaevWINNER | 100% | 95% | 92% | 98% |
Fight to Go the Distance: No | — | — | 90% | — |
Fight won by KO/TKO: No | — | — | 28% | — |
Abdullaev to win by KO/TKO: No | — | — | 20% | — |
Ednilson Santos | 10% | 6% | 8% | 13% |
Abdullaev to win by KO/TKO: Yes | — | — | — | — |
Akbar Abdullaev by Decision | — | — | — | — |
Akbar Abdullaev by KO/TKO/DQ | — | — | — | — |
Akbar Abdullaev by Submission | — | — | — | — |
Akbar Abdullaev to win in Round 1 | — | — | — | — |
Akbar Abdullaev to win in Round 2 | — | — | — | — |
Akbar Abdullaev to win in Round 3 | — | — | — | — |
Decision / Draw / No Contest | — | — | — | — |
Draw/No Contest | — | — | — | — |
Ednilson Santos by Decision | — | — | — | — |
Ednilson Santos by KO/TKO/DQ | — | — | — | — |
Ednilson Santos by Submission | — | — | — | — |
Ednilson Santos to win in Round 1 | — | — | — | — |
Ednilson Santos to win in Round 2 | — | — | — | — |
Ednilson Santos to win in Round 3 | — | — | — | — |
Fight to Go the Distance: Yes | — | — | — | — |
Fight won by decision: No | — | — | 99% | — |
Fight won by decision: Yes | — | — | — | — |
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes | — | — | — | — |
Fight won by submission: Yes | — | — | — | — |
Over 0.5 Rounds | — | — | — | — |
Over 1.5 Rounds | — | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 Rounds | — | — | — | — |
Santos to win by KO/TKO: Yes | — | — | — | — |
Under 0.5 Rounds | — | — | — | — |
Under 1.5 Rounds | — | — | — | — |
Under 2.5 Rounds | — | — | — | — |
Akbar Abdullaev
96.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Ednilson Santos wins the Santos vs Abdullaev professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Santos vs Abdullaev professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
NovigEdnilson Santos in Ednilson Santos @ Akbar Abdullaev (UFC); settled by Novig.
If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to "Ednilson Santos" if Ednilson Santos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Akbar Abdullaev at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 6, scheduled for September 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Akbar Abdullaev" if Akbar Abdullaev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Akbar Abdullaev: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 92.0¢ on Polymarket, 98.0¢ on ProphetX, 94.5¢ on Novig; Ednilson Santos: 9.5¢ on Kalshi, 8.0¢ on Polymarket, 13.2¢ on ProphetX, 5.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 7.7 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Akbar Abdullaev at 96.0¢ implies about a 96.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.